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Forums - Sales Discussion - Can Reach outsell every PS3 exclusive combined in the Americas in 2010?

I forgot about LBP2...that comes this year?

And I'm not really counting Move games in this. Simply because it's a wildcard I dont really understand. Maybe they release like 20 Move mini game collections or something...I dont know. There's no clarity for me of Move's game release schedule.



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fallen said:

I would think it would have a shot...

What will be the big selling PS3 exclusives in Americas? Just God of War 3 and Gran Turismo 5. I think both will sell in the 1-1.5 million range. Other than that you have Heavy Rain, 3D dot Heroes, Modnation Racers, MAG, and Socom Move. I think those all sell maybe 300k.

 

If you add it all up Reach probably needs to sell 5-6 million to beat every PS3 exclusive. I think that's possible. Halo 3 did that. Reach should do more. It will have 4 months to sell also.

Am I missing something or way off base?

I'm assuming Resistance 3 will not be announced for this fall, and that The Last Guardian wont make it either. Especially the latter prediction seems very safe.

BTW I'm not really counting Move games in this though, since none have been announced and it's too much of a wildcard. Just hardcore titles. Socom counts though.

GoW III has already reached 1.5 million in America...and it sold nearly 50k this week. And GT5 will most definitely sell more that 1.5 million.

You're forgetting LBP 2 as well.

As of now, Between God of War III, MAG, MLB 10: The Show and Heavy Rain 3 million has been sold. I recon reach will do about 5 million in 2010.

So its most probably not gonna happen.



TheNoobHolocaust said:

Well if you add Gran Turismo which can possibly sell 4+ million in America alone. Not only that but there are like 161 PS3 exclusives so f no!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category%3APlayStation_3-only_games

I know its Wikipedia, but I counted them just to make sure, there's no way one game could outsell that many games

Edit: if you're only counting the big selling titles then its possible, but Gran Turismo alone has a chance to outsell Halo: Reach so I doubt that.

I think he meant every PS3 exclusive released this year..

It could happen, depending on when/if GT5 comes out this year

Looking at the "big titles" so far GOW has sold 1.5 million, MAG has sold 500k, Heavy rain 540k so sitting at about 2.54 million thus far (for those 3 games in the Americas only).  I think MNR will sell fairly well, so if GT5 gets a street date at the beginning of December than maybe Reach will outsell the PS3 exclusives for the year, if GT5 gets a street date in September or earlier I'd say no chance in hell :)



Unicorns ARE real - They are just fat, grey and called Rhinos

the exclusives that are already released are at about 3million now and I don't expect Reach to do much more than 6 million this year in americas

6+month worth of sales for them + GT5, LBP2, MNR and Socom 4 really should be able to top that imho



fallen said:
TheNoobHolocaust said:

Well if you add Gran Turismo which can possibly sell 4+ million in America alone. Not only that but there are like 161 PS3 exclusives so f no!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category%3APlayStation_3-only_games

I know its Wikipedia, but I counted them just to make sure, there's no way one game could outsell that many games

Edit: if you're only counting the big selling titles then its possible, but Gran Turismo alone has a chance to outsell Halo: Reach so I doubt that.

I only mean exclusives released in 2010, not back catolgue titles.

 

Also you're crazy if you think GT5 is going to sell 4m in 2010 just in America! I think it will sell 1-1.5 million. 1m Nov 500k Dec or something like that. Maybe 2 million as there are more PS3's around these days.

 

You're basically looking at maybe 2m there and 2m for GOW3 as the big two I'm thinking.

 

Ok that makes sense too.

Also lol at your face, sorry but Gran Turismo will probably sell 10m WW. After looking at it closer I see Gran Turismo selling 3m in America, 5.5m in Others, and 1m in Japan LTD. But about 6m by the end of 2010. 2m in America, 3.5m in Others, and 0.5m in Japan.

I think Halo Reach will sell more than Gran Turismo 5 but less than Halo 3, I'm sorry to say I don't see it selling as much as the main series games.

 

 



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TheNoobHolocaust said:
fallen said:
TheNoobHolocaust said:

Well if you add Gran Turismo which can possibly sell 4+ million in America alone. Not only that but there are like 161 PS3 exclusives so f no!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category%3APlayStation_3-only_games

I know its Wikipedia, but I counted them just to make sure, there's no way one game could outsell that many games

Edit: if you're only counting the big selling titles then its possible, but Gran Turismo alone has a chance to outsell Halo: Reach so I doubt that.

I only mean exclusives released in 2010, not back catolgue titles.

 

Also you're crazy if you think GT5 is going to sell 4m in 2010 just in America! I think it will sell 1-1.5 million. 1m Nov 500k Dec or something like that. Maybe 2 million as there are more PS3's around these days.

 

You're basically looking at maybe 2m there and 2m for GOW3 as the big two I'm thinking.

 

Ok that makes sense too.

Also lol at your face, sorry but Gran Turismo will probably sell 10m WW. After looking at it closer I see Gran Turismo selling 3m in America, 5.5m in Others, and 1m in Japan LTD. But about 6m by the end of 2010. 2m in America, 3.5m in Others, and 0.5m in Japan.

I think Halo Reach will sell more than Gran Turismo 5 but less than Halo 3, I'm sorry to say I don't see it selling as much as the main series games.

 

 

What does worldwide have to do with this? And remember, this is only in 2010. GT5P only sold ~200k it's first month in America.



fallen said:
TheNoobHolocaust said:
fallen said:
TheNoobHolocaust said:

Well if you add Gran Turismo which can possibly sell 4+ million in America alone. Not only that but there are like 161 PS3 exclusives so f no!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category%3APlayStation_3-only_games

I know its Wikipedia, but I counted them just to make sure, there's no way one game could outsell that many games

Edit: if you're only counting the big selling titles then its possible, but Gran Turismo alone has a chance to outsell Halo: Reach so I doubt that.

I only mean exclusives released in 2010, not back catolgue titles.

 

Also you're crazy if you think GT5 is going to sell 4m in 2010 just in America! I think it will sell 1-1.5 million. 1m Nov 500k Dec or something like that. Maybe 2 million as there are more PS3's around these days.

 

You're basically looking at maybe 2m there and 2m for GOW3 as the big two I'm thinking.

 

Ok that makes sense too.

Also lol at your face, sorry but Gran Turismo will probably sell 10m WW. After looking at it closer I see Gran Turismo selling 3m in America, 5.5m in Others, and 1m in Japan LTD. But about 6m by the end of 2010. 2m in America, 3.5m in Others, and 0.5m in Japan.

I think Halo Reach will sell more than Gran Turismo 5 but less than Halo 3, I'm sorry to say I don't see it selling as much as the main series games.

 

 

What does worldwide have to do with this? And remember, this is only in 2010. GT5P only sold ~200k it's first month in America.

GT5P is to ODST as GT5 is to Reach, both are just fillers compared to the big guns.

I still think GT5 will sell 2m in America by the end of the year, and Halo Reach will sell about 4m in America before the end of the year. Add God of War 3's 2m in America, Heavy Rain's 1m in America, MAG's 0.75m in America, MNR's 0.5m in America. The unpredictable sales of LBP2, Resistance 3 which will likely be announce at E3 for a fall release could sell about 0.5m in America all just by the end of the year.

I think its still too early to tell but with those games alone PS3 exclusives have 6.75+ million (not including LBP 2) and Halo Reach has 4+ million.

It just seems like too far of a stretch. Good question btw.



GT5P was a Demo.



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I dont think it will happen but who know to many variables. After E3 ii think we will all have a better idea of how things will go down.



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       Coffee is for closers!

I don't think anyone expects GT5 to do the same kind of numbers as GoW3, the game has a much bigger appeal and will not be rated mature like GoW3.
I think it's a given that GT5 will move more than 2 million copies in the US this year if it releases no later than November...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !