Sony is expecting to ship 15 million PS3's by the end of the next fiscal year (March 2011). The gap is currently around 5 million so the big question is will X360 outsell it's 2009 fiscal year (10 million by the end of March 2010), now that seems unlikely that this will happen, it seems as though the X360 has already peak and at best I'd say it'll do is around 8 - 9 million shipped from April 2010 - end of March 2011. This is it's 5th year out so it's very unlikely it'll outdo 2009.

If that's the case then Sony will ship about 5 - 6 million more PS3's then X360's by March 2011 which would surpass the X360 for hardware sales.

my predictions have put PS3 ahead of 360 for 2011 thanks to everyone on this sites predictions for both consoles for the end of this yr. so thanks everyone.

2011 predictions

Wii 113m

PS3 62m

360 55-58m

And when it doesnt.....there is always 2012 ,2013, 2014.......

Just so you know, PSP's estimate for last year was 15 million, too, before they adjusted it down 5 million to just 10 million after the Go flopped. They are simply way overestimating what affect PS Move will have. Also, MS doesn't do estimates, but I expect they are set to sell at least 12-13 million if not more thanks to Slim + Price Cut + Natal + Halo + Gears + Fable all coming in the next fiscal year.

Also, I believe this is the first time a PS3 estimate has not had to be adjusted down in order to be met so you shouldn't assume it will be correct based on one good year.

"but I expect they are set to sell at least 12-13 million if not more thanks to Slim + Price Cut + Natal + Halo + Gears + Fable all coming in the next fiscal year."

The most the X360 has sold in a year was 11 million which was in 2008, your saying it's going to sell 1 - 2 million more then that?! I don't think that's possible. First of all Halo, Gears and Fable are not system sellers, the only people that are going to buy them are the existing  X360 owners, we all know that. Second a price cut probably wouldn't make a big difference, I mean it's already selling at $200 and it's in it's 5th year, hell it was on sale for $130 for a while. At the most all they can do is drop both SKU's by 50 bucks and I doubt that'll make a huge difference.

Now for the Slim, no one knows if it's real or not so you can't say it's coming if it's not confirmed. And Natal is the wild card, it could do nothing to sales or help it, it won't make a huge impact. I'm skeptical that Natal and Move will do anything to hardware sales.

From the looks of things the PS3 is going to sell very well in 2010, it's already up like 35% from last year, and the big guns aren't even out yet, the PS3's biggest system seller GT5 should be releasing by the end of the year, that'll sell a ton of PS3's.

The gap is 4.5 million

A price cut wont have a big effect, its already at mass market price.. As is the Wii, the only console that would likely have a big impact with a price cut is the ps3.. because it is not at mass market price. The slim though is likely to push systems, since its likely some 360 owners will jump in once again and replace there old 360's with a slimmer 360. THAT IS IF there really is a slim. Natal is as big as gamble as PS MOVE is.. And the 360 isnt the only system with games coming out..

It's 5.05 according to VGC

What are the big guns? Besides GT5?

It is 4.5 million according to microsoft's and sony's figures, and since you are using shipped figures, that's what we should be working with..