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Forums - Sony Discussion - So after God of War 3, how much do you think Gran Turismo 5 will do?

 

So after God of War 3, how much do you think Gran Turismo 5 will do?

1 - 2 M 15 6.98%
 
2 - 3 M 37 17.21%
 
3 - 4 M 35 16.28%
 
4- 5 M 30 13.95%
 
5 -6 M (Almost Unrealistic) 98 45.58%
 
Total:215
coolestguyever on 17 April 2010
Zipper said:
Guys, I'm talking about FIRST MONTH SALES

Dude you should have mentioned that in the title or at least the opening post. It would have saved a lot of people calling you an idiot.

 

First month maybe 3.65 million?

Week 1 - 2 million

Week 2 - 750k

Week 3 - 500k

Week 4 - 400k

 

I bet if it releases in the fall sometime it'll sell over 100k each week until after Christmas.



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Darth Tigris on 17 April 2010

This poll is busted. People didn't read where you stated first week or month. These results make people here seem unrealistic and . . . and I've said too much.



ElGranCabeza on 17 April 2010
Zipper said:
I seriously doubt that.
Gran Turismo is huge, but not that huge.

Gran Turismo 5 can sell anywhere between 10 to 15 million
Are you guys saying it can sell more than half of it LTD in the opening month?

You should've specified in your OP because we couldn't tell if you mean 1st month or LTD.



TripleRoxas on 17 April 2010

Opening week it can do 3 million( i like 3.5 more).
Opening month can push 5 million.
Lifetime it could hit 11-12 million.

It all depends on if it gets A-spec numbers in america or gt4 numbers.



yo_john117 on 17 April 2010

I'd say 4-5 million first month and 7-9 million lifetime.



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DM235 on 17 April 2010

Given that the other big exclusive franchise on the PS3, namely Metal Gear Solid, did better than the previous iteration on the PS2, I would expect the same trend for Gran Turismo.

According to VGChartz, GT4 did 2.5 million in its first week, and 4.3 million in its first month (first 4 weeks).

I wouldn't be surprised if GT5, with its broader appeal, will do 3.0 million in its first week and 4.5 million in its first month.



jbrist on 17 April 2010

If a game is gonna' do 4-5m first month, then in it's lifetime, it's going to atleast double that, heck, most likely triple it.

Over 10m for GT5 will be easy.



Spedfrom on 17 April 2010

How is GoW3's performance telling of GT5's?



el_rika on 17 April 2010

Slightly misleading poll. I thought it was about LT sales, not first month. I'm pretty sure i'm not the only one...



"You have the right to the remains of a silent attorney"

djs on 17 April 2010
Zipper said:

So we finally have the NPD numbers for God of War 3 - 1.1 million 

God of War 3 launch was 32% bigger than the God of War 2 launch

I think it goes to show that even if a system does have a smaller user base, when the game gets more attention, it can sell mroe.

So with that in mind - how much do you think Gran Turismo 5 is going to sell on it opening week or month? I know it probably the most common thread around here, but after we saw how God of War 3 did, we have more knowledge

We are talking worldwide numbers here

Things you should consider

1. Gran Turismo 5 will probably have the biggest marketing campaign of any PS3 game ever in all regions

2. The game will probably come out in the holiday season - the PS3 user base will be much bigger by then

3. It probably going to be the most heavily bundled PS3 game ever

4. Gran Turismo 5: Prologue had 1 million pre orders in PAL territories according to Sony

5. It the first release of a full Gran Turismo game on the PS3

We need clarification.

 

Week one ww I'd say 3-4M.

Month one ww I'd say 5-6M.