Pachter's quote "We can agree to disagree about the Wii Vitality Sensor. It looks tremendously stupid to me, but I'm sure I'm not the target market. " from this thread got me thinking.
What would be everyone's expectation of the three addons from the three home console makers? Will any of them become a sensation like Wii Balance Board?
I know we don't know much about NATAL games or how Wii Vitality Sensor would be incoporated and we only saw some brief demos of PS Move. However, it would be interesting to know what everyone's expectation right now based on the current "buzz". I'll probably make another poll after E3 when we have more information on all 3 devices and see if the expectation changes.
As for the poll, my choice would be Wii Balance Board > All 3 Combined. The price of Move and Natal kind of scare me and I think it would limit the market adoption. Wii Vitality Sensor probably won't have a price issue since it can just be bundled with a game designed specifically for it. However, It might turn out to be closer to Wii Music/Animal Crossing: City Folks (<4 mil) than Mario Kart Wii/Wii Fit (20+ mil). Besides, Wii Fit Plus with Balance Board continue selling at a decent rate (there is even a shortage after the holidays). I think it would be hard for Wii Vitality Sensor/PS Move/Ms Natal to catch up.
Thoughts?
MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.