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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Will nextbox use blueray?

 

Will nextbox use blueray?

yes 77 41.62%
 
no, digital distribution 60 32.43%
 
all consoles will use blue ray 48 25.95%
 
Total:185

Wow at people actually saying that Sony wouldn't let MS use Blu-Ray for their format if MS chose to. I mean, that's why all Sony VAIO's don't have Windows, right?!?! You people stating this must have not even a slighty clue of how the business world works!



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joeorc said:
Squilliam said:

If it cannot be accurate, then why bother posting it?

Many people also consider digitial downloads to be of more value as well. You can't just assume everyone wants a physical copy. I would say its a matter of convenience as cars are starting to be MP3 compatible and they are also starting to carry storage for peoples music/video files but this is a transition in progress. Transitions take time, people are still replacing their old CRT screens with thinner HDTV models for instance.

The reason why DVD is a big hill to climb is due to the 1000* difference in size between a movie and a video clip. It has nothing to do with a desire for collection as only <20% are attached to the fact that they own a physical copy, its simply a lack of convenience. The digital distribution model for movies is simply waiting on the price/storage space model for flash to improve and it will enter the market as a rental service first because it would mean you can turn your rental store into a kiosk and Red Box it.

Oh and never say never.

much like any tracking data it's accurate as much of the sample data they have. so why even be here on this site if you think that way?

just like you cannot assume everyone want's Digital download's.

I gave my opinion as you have your's.

if collecting has nothing to do with it why offer a physical disc at all?

it's in people's nature to collect thing's.

that why there is physical media in the first place, if people did not want to collect thing's the movies would just stay in theatre's

collecting I would say is a much larger part of it than what you claiming.

 

Vgchartz actually tracks the market in a representative fashion. That was not representative of the market it was simply FUD.

Im not assuming everyone wants DD, im assuming that most people will pick the convenient solution. Currently physical media is more convenient. The reason for physical media is convenience even if a few people like to collect things. I know someone who collects games, and he gets very upset at the thought of losing his collection and they are all pirated downloads. When downloads become the convenient solution then a majority of people will use that source for their media.



Tease.

joeorc said:
Squilliam said:
joeorc said:
Squilliam said:

It doesn't count the whole of the market. For example 42% of Netflix subscribers streamed video on demand for at least 15 minutes in 2009. Which means of the 9.6% of U.S. households with Netflix about 4% of them did video on demand through that service. These numbers aren't counted at all towards that $200 revenue figure. Nor does it count advertising supported streaming on Youtube and Hulu and other sites. In addition to this, Porn sites are moving to an on demand model which is probably not counted either. It probably only counts direct downloads through various sites like iTunes and not the Live services where Microsoft/Sony doesn't release any numbers either.

nor does any tracking service for that matter:

they take sample's and track the data. just like any tracking service does. but the point is they have their data, you than decide if you think it's accurate enough. that's all you can do. Digital download's are not as big as physical Media an most likely that will not change for quite a while, esp. in the US with broadband speed's capped, it's just not going to happen for a long time , if it even ever does.

many people view digital download's hold less value than something that is on physical media, for Music that is slowly changing, but look how long even still the MP3 has not yet even replaced the CD and most likely it still will not replace the CD.Reason being, because many people have downloaded those same mp3's that many people for today but still burn them to CD for their car stereo's.

Digital download's have an even bigger hill to climb when it come's to movies. people still used DVD because it's simple, easy and it is something they can collect. there are so many  DVD player's in the market that people are going to be less likely to give up on DVD over digital download's because even today not everyone in the US has a fast broadband speed.Which still is not going to change for a very long time.

let alone digital downloads being the majority anytime soon, getting people to change their view of digital download's Value will be the biggest hurdle In my opinion , and one I think is most likely never going to change.

People like to collect thing's, yes you can indeed collect digital download's but the Value of that digital download's collection is another thing by in of itself.

If it cannot be accurate, then why bother posting it?

Many people also consider digitial downloads to be of more value as well. You can't just assume everyone wants a physical copy. I would say its a matter of convenience as cars are starting to be MP3 compatible and they are also starting to carry storage for peoples music/video files but this is a transition in progress. Transitions take time, people are still replacing their old CRT screens with thinner HDTV models for instance.

The reason why DVD is a big hill to climb is due to the 1000* difference in size between a movie and a video clip. It has nothing to do with a desire for collection as only <20% are attached to the fact that they own a physical copy, its simply a lack of convenience. The digital distribution model for movies is simply waiting on the price/storage space model for flash to improve and it will enter the market as a rental service first because it would mean you can turn your rental store into a kiosk and Red Box it.

Oh and never say never.

much like any tracking data it's accurate as much of the sample data they have. so why even be here on this site if you think that way?

just like you cannot assume everyone want's Digital download's.

I gave my opinion as you have your's.

if collecting has nothing to do with it why offer a physical disc at all?

it's in people's nature to collect thing's.

that why there is physical media in the first place, if people did not want to collect thing's the movies would just stay in theatre's

collecting I would say is a much larger part of it than what you claiming.

 

Physical media doesn't exist to cater to the collector mentality that exists in certain gamers. It exists as an inexpensive and convenient means to distribute content.

As far as DD goes, it is a more convenient means of distributing and purchasing content. There's a reason why iTunes replaced CDs as the most relevant means of distributing music, and it's not because it offers a better quality format (it's unarguably worse). Same applies for movies (worse quality due to lower bit rate), but not for games.

The main detractors of DD would be those who do collect, and those who deal in the secondary (used) market, which are often the same group.

Not everybody collects, and this comes from a consumer who is unquestionably a media hoarder to the point where it has been an inconvenience to move and store collections.

If I could have access to every piece of distributed media I ever bought through any remote connection (even if it were a personal sever that housed all files), I'd give up the vast majority of my collection.

Most of my PC games collection is on Steam. I'd transfer the rest of my games to Steam if it were possible and ditch the media. Having access to one's collection through any computer is better than trying to take it all with you if you're mobile.



For the unbillionteenth time, yes.
The next Xbox will have a Blu-Ray drive and it will be able to play Blu-Ray movies. It will not be DD only as they would lose millions upon million of revenue from the people who do not have a fast internet connection.
Blu-Ray is the current growing standard for high density optical media and will stay that way well into the next Xbox's life span.
So stop making this thread over and over again. No matter how many times this same thread is made, it will always be the same answer.



Squilliam said:
joeorc said:
Squilliam said:

If it cannot be accurate, then why bother posting it?

Many people also consider digitial downloads to be of more value as well. You can't just assume everyone wants a physical copy. I would say its a matter of convenience as cars are starting to be MP3 compatible and they are also starting to carry storage for peoples music/video files but this is a transition in progress. Transitions take time, people are still replacing their old CRT screens with thinner HDTV models for instance.

The reason why DVD is a big hill to climb is due to the 1000* difference in size between a movie and a video clip. It has nothing to do with a desire for collection as only <20% are attached to the fact that they own a physical copy, its simply a lack of convenience. The digital distribution model for movies is simply waiting on the price/storage space model for flash to improve and it will enter the market as a rental service first because it would mean you can turn your rental store into a kiosk and Red Box it.

Oh and never say never.

much like any tracking data it's accurate as much of the sample data they have. so why even be here on this site if you think that way?

just like you cannot assume everyone want's Digital download's.

I gave my opinion as you have your's.

if collecting has nothing to do with it why offer a physical disc at all?

it's in people's nature to collect thing's.

that why there is physical media in the first place, if people did not want to collect thing's the movies would just stay in theatre's

collecting I would say is a much larger part of it than what you claiming.

 

Vgchartz actually tracks the market in a representative fashion. That was not representative of the market it was simply FUD.

Im not assuming everyone wants DD, im assuming that most people will pick the convenient solution. Currently physical media is more convenient. The reason for physical media is convenience even if a few people like to collect things. I know someone who collects games, and he gets very upset at the thought of losing his collection and they are all pirated downloads. When downloads become the convenient solution then a majority of people will use that source for their media.

wait a min..FUD...Home Media magazine also tracks the market in a representative fashion just  like VGchartz do though they do it for Mainly Movies instead of Video Game's. Home Media magazine  is quite respected. do not try to pull out that card of it was not representative of the market. that's like saying NPD is not. they are all tracking services.

as for Convenient being the main drive..once again collecting is. and Digital Downloads require a high bandwidth , which is being capped.

So I don't see how that's going to be anymore Convenient as for getting physical Media at the brick an mortar store's as you can do right now.

when the ISP's keep capping the speed for internet.

www.newamerica.net/.../Bandwidth%20Caps%20for%20High-Speed%20Internet%20in%20the%20U.S.%20and%20Japan.pdf



I AM BOLO

100% lover "nothing else matter's" after that...

ps:

Proud psOne/2/3/p owner.  I survived Aplcalyps3 and all I got was this lousy Signature.

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greenmedic88 said:
joeorc said:
Squilliam said:
joeorc said:
Squilliam said:

It doesn't count the whole of the market. For example 42% of Netflix subscribers streamed video on demand for at least 15 minutes in 2009. Which means of the 9.6% of U.S. households with Netflix about 4% of them did video on demand through that service. These numbers aren't counted at all towards that $200 revenue figure. Nor does it count advertising supported streaming on Youtube and Hulu and other sites. In addition to this, Porn sites are moving to an on demand model which is probably not counted either. It probably only counts direct downloads through various sites like iTunes and not the Live services where Microsoft/Sony doesn't release any numbers either.

nor does any tracking service for that matter:

they take sample's and track the data. just like any tracking service does. but the point is they have their data, you than decide if you think it's accurate enough. that's all you can do. Digital download's are not as big as physical Media an most likely that will not change for quite a while, esp. in the US with broadband speed's capped, it's just not going to happen for a long time , if it even ever does.

many people view digital download's hold less value than something that is on physical media, for Music that is slowly changing, but look how long even still the MP3 has not yet even replaced the CD and most likely it still will not replace the CD.Reason being, because many people have downloaded those same mp3's that many people for today but still burn them to CD for their car stereo's.

Digital download's have an even bigger hill to climb when it come's to movies. people still used DVD because it's simple, easy and it is something they can collect. there are so many  DVD player's in the market that people are going to be less likely to give up on DVD over digital download's because even today not everyone in the US has a fast broadband speed.Which still is not going to change for a very long time.

let alone digital downloads being the majority anytime soon, getting people to change their view of digital download's Value will be the biggest hurdle In my opinion , and one I think is most likely never going to change.

People like to collect thing's, yes you can indeed collect digital download's but the Value of that digital download's collection is another thing by in of itself.

If it cannot be accurate, then why bother posting it?

Many people also consider digitial downloads to be of more value as well. You can't just assume everyone wants a physical copy. I would say its a matter of convenience as cars are starting to be MP3 compatible and they are also starting to carry storage for peoples music/video files but this is a transition in progress. Transitions take time, people are still replacing their old CRT screens with thinner HDTV models for instance.

The reason why DVD is a big hill to climb is due to the 1000* difference in size between a movie and a video clip. It has nothing to do with a desire for collection as only <20% are attached to the fact that they own a physical copy, its simply a lack of convenience. The digital distribution model for movies is simply waiting on the price/storage space model for flash to improve and it will enter the market as a rental service first because it would mean you can turn your rental store into a kiosk and Red Box it.

Oh and never say never.

much like any tracking data it's accurate as much of the sample data they have. so why even be here on this site if you think that way?

just like you cannot assume everyone want's Digital download's.

I gave my opinion as you have your's.

if collecting has nothing to do with it why offer a physical disc at all?

it's in people's nature to collect thing's.

that why there is physical media in the first place, if people did not want to collect thing's the movies would just stay in theatre's

collecting I would say is a much larger part of it than what you claiming.

 

Physical media doesn't exist to cater to the collector mentality that exists in certain gamers. It exists as an inexpensive and convenient means to distribute content.

As far as DD goes, it is a more convenient means of distributing and purchasing content. There's a reason why iTunes replaced CDs as the most relevant means of distributing music, and it's not because it offers a better quality format (it's unarguably worse). Same applies for movies (worse quality due to lower bit rate), but not for games.

The main detractors of DD would be those who do collect, and those who deal in the secondary (used) market, which are often the same group.

Not everybody collects, and this comes from a consumer who is unquestionably a media hoarder to the point where it has been an inconvenience to move and store collections.

If I could have access to every piece of distributed media I ever bought through any remote connection (even if it were a personal sever that housed all files), I'd give up the vast majority of my collection.

Most of my PC games collection is on Steam. I'd transfer the rest of my games to Steam if it were possible and ditch the media. Having access to one's collection through any computer is better than trying to take it all with you if you're mobile.

I still disagree with that.. the Collecting of movies is just like collecting game's, there are people that collect them just like anything.Else

it's human nature to do so. the point is why is the media distributed the content?

if it's not for collector's than what is it for?

the simple:

 A collection is a group of things gathered or collected. A person is a collector when they brings items together into a group. People collect different things. People collect things for lots of reasons - - including that it is fun! Harder - Collecting is a great hobby because it can be different, unique for everyone. Each found item has its own 'story.' In the process of collecting, you continue to learn. As you build any collection, you apply skills in identifying, selecting, discriminating, evaluating, classifying, and arranging items.

Those who view collecting as trivial or a waste of time, miss the connections that it has to life skills and occupations. Scientists also collect things; they gather information, data, and samples. Museums and libraries are collections. Many people make their livelihoods by collecting and disposing items. In fact, all of us go through our lives collecting and discarding things around us.

http://42explore.com/collect.htm



I AM BOLO

100% lover "nothing else matter's" after that...

ps:

Proud psOne/2/3/p owner.  I survived Aplcalyps3 and all I got was this lousy Signature.

joeorc said:

wait a min..FUD...Home Media magazine also tracks the market in a representative fashion just  like VGchartz do though the do it for Mainly Movies instead of Video Game's. Home Media magazine  is quite respected. do not try to pull out that card of it was not representative of the market. that's like saying NPD is not. they are all tracking services.

as for Convenient being the main drive..once again collecting is. and Digital Downloads require a high bandwidth , which is being capped.

So I don't see how that's going to be anymore Convenient as for getting physical Media at the brick an mortar store's as you can do right now.

when the ISP's keep capping the speed for internet.

www.newamerica.net/.../Bandwidth%20Caps%20for%20High-Speed%20Internet%20in%20the%20U.S.%20and%20Japan.pdf

Yeah I know all about bandwidth caps etc. NPD tracks about 95% of the U.S. game market and for what it doesn't directly track it has excellent estimates. On demand means -> Streaming, direct download, cable companies on demand, satelite on demand, kiosks.

Of those you have

  • Major cable companies
  • Porn companies
  • Kiosk based distribution which is growing quite fast with Redbox etc and they are likely thinking of creating proprietary media for direct download.
  • Major internet services like Netflix, iTunes
  • Consoles

if you consider cable companies alone that probably already blows through the $200m estimated download revenue. Netflix alone would take up almost half of it if you consider at most 1M people whom mainly use it for their online service.



Tease.

greenmedic88 said:
MS would probably be best off using a proprietary disc format, maybe based off HD-DVD to reduce instances of piracy while providing additional space for programs that need it.

The only reason for going with BD would be the convenience of using an established higher data density optical format at the cost of licensing fees for the proprietary format.

Not that it matters, but they've already been so stubborn on the BD issue, flipping a 180 by using it would be like announcing a retraction on something they already declared as final.

If they stick with DVD for the next generation, then they are being even more stubborn on the storage issue in addition to ignoring changes in developer demands for more storage flexibility.

As for an all DD console to skirt the storage issue; best not to try this in 2012 or whenever Xbox 3.0 is set to debut. It would be a disaster by cutting off all potential consumers who don't game online (shrinking, but still relevant %).

This to me, is what CBHD represents...

M$ might needs a media format with more disc space for larger games, and CBHD offers this, while being able to fully play regular DVDs.  The cost for such a choice are drastically reduced, and you can still upscale movies to 1080-quality.  Not only that, but production cost for these disc would be a fraction of the cost to go with brd on both the manufacturing cost, and the long term licensing fees.  Seems to me that M$ is going to look very hard to go in another direction, unless they can get a serious sweetheart deal on brd fees, imho.



"...You can't kill ideas with a sword, and you can't sink belief structures with a broadside. You defeat them by making them change..."

- From By Schism Rent Asunder

heruamon said:
greenmedic88 said:
MS would probably be best off using a proprietary disc format, maybe based off HD-DVD to reduce instances of piracy while providing additional space for programs that need it.

The only reason for going with BD would be the convenience of using an established higher data density optical format at the cost of licensing fees for the proprietary format.

Not that it matters, but they've already been so stubborn on the BD issue, flipping a 180 by using it would be like announcing a retraction on something they already declared as final.

If they stick with DVD for the next generation, then they are being even more stubborn on the storage issue in addition to ignoring changes in developer demands for more storage flexibility.

As for an all DD console to skirt the storage issue; best not to try this in 2012 or whenever Xbox 3.0 is set to debut. It would be a disaster by cutting off all potential consumers who don't game online (shrinking, but still relevant %).

This to me, is what CBHD represents...

M$ might needs a media format with more disc space for larger games, and CBHD offers this, while being able to fully play regular DVDs.  The cost for such a choice are drastically reduced, and you can still upscale movies to 1080-quality.  Not only that, but production cost for these disc would be a fraction of the cost to go with brd on both the manufacturing cost, and the long term licensing fees.  Seems to me that M$ is going to look very hard to go in another direction, unless they can get a serious sweetheart deal on brd fees, imho.

If it represents a $10-15 saving on the drive and another $9.50 on Blu Ray playback its quite a bit of savings to consider relative to what 95% of games will require (im going off the $23 of royalties justification for CBHD vs DVD). Even limiting themselves to single layer 15GB discs would be good enough for at least 97% of games in the next generation. This will be especially important when next generation consoles probably won't cost more than $299 at launch.



Tease.

Squilliam said:
heruamon said:
greenmedic88 said:
MS would probably be best off using a proprietary disc format, maybe based off HD-DVD to reduce instances of piracy while providing additional space for programs that need it.

The only reason for going with BD would be the convenience of using an established higher data density optical format at the cost of licensing fees for the proprietary format.

Not that it matters, but they've already been so stubborn on the BD issue, flipping a 180 by using it would be like announcing a retraction on something they already declared as final.

If they stick with DVD for the next generation, then they are being even more stubborn on the storage issue in addition to ignoring changes in developer demands for more storage flexibility.

As for an all DD console to skirt the storage issue; best not to try this in 2012 or whenever Xbox 3.0 is set to debut. It would be a disaster by cutting off all potential consumers who don't game online (shrinking, but still relevant %).

This to me, is what CBHD represents...

M$ might needs a media format with more disc space for larger games, and CBHD offers this, while being able to fully play regular DVDs.  The cost for such a choice are drastically reduced, and you can still upscale movies to 1080-quality.  Not only that, but production cost for these disc would be a fraction of the cost to go with brd on both the manufacturing cost, and the long term licensing fees.  Seems to me that M$ is going to look very hard to go in another direction, unless they can get a serious sweetheart deal on brd fees, imho.

If it represents a $10-15 saving on the drive and another $9.50 on Blu Ray playback its quite a bit of savings to consider relative to what 95% of games will require (im going off the $23 of royalties justification for CBHD vs DVD). Even limiting themselves to single layer 15GB discs would be good enough for at least 97% of games in the next generation. This will be especially important when next generation consoles probably won't cost more than $299 at launch.

Yeah, nobody in the west has done a hard srcub of CBHD for public consumption, since it launched, but evidently, ALOT of companies have looked into it, based on how many of them are supporting it in China.  I think M$ is going to look at the decision very hard to decide what format to use...but I DO think we will a physical media formt for the next console, because DD just isn't there yet, as Joeorc pointed out.



"...You can't kill ideas with a sword, and you can't sink belief structures with a broadside. You defeat them by making them change..."

- From By Schism Rent Asunder