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Has the Wii already peaked?

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I certainly think that this year can be bigger than 2009. It will be tough to beat 2008 though. It may be a bit behind for quarter 1, but the real test will be how it does Q2 and Q3. With much stronger software releases I think it is legitimate to assume that Q2 and Q3 will be stronger with a similar Q4 to 2009.



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Mazty said:
Arius Dion said:
I think all consoles have peaked. I think Wii is going to sell more in 2010 than it did in 2009. Which means having another 20m+ year. Which continues this unprecedented streak. Even the PS2 only managed 20m once. Wii's done it twice already and looks to make it three.

Even though PS3 is selling the most is has ever done since the price cut?


That's pretty easy to accomplish.



Bet between Slimbeast and Arius Dion about Wii sales 2009:


If the Wii sells less than 20 million in 2009 (as defined by VGC sales between week ending 3d Jan 2009 to week ending 4th Jan 2010) Slimebeast wins and get to control Arius Dion's sig for 1 month.

If the Wii sells more than 20 million in 2009 (as defined above) Arius Dion wins and gets to control Slimebeast's sig for 1 month.

Arius Dion said:
Mazty said:
Arius Dion said:
I think all consoles have peaked. I think Wii is going to sell more in 2010 than it did in 2009. Which means having another 20m+ year. Which continues this unprecedented streak. Even the PS2 only managed 20m once. Wii's done it twice already and looks to make it three.

Even though PS3 is selling the most is has ever done since the price cut?


That's pretty easy to accomplish.

lol



Arius Dion said:
Mazty said:
Arius Dion said:
I think all consoles have peaked. I think Wii is going to sell more in 2010 than it did in 2009. Which means having another 20m+ year. Which continues this unprecedented streak. Even the PS2 only managed 20m once. Wii's done it twice already and looks to make it three.

Even though PS3 is selling the most is has ever done since the price cut?


That's pretty easy to accomplish.

Don't post inane replies. Fact is the PS3 is selling more than it has ever done before, outselling the 360. To say all the consoles have peaked means you are either not looking at current sales or know something that the market and buyers do not know, and will cause sales to dramitically reduce even with many exclusive titles due for release.

So, which is it?



The PS3 isn't selling more than it ever has, it's supply constrained. It did during the holiday season, same as the Wii. The Wii could easily sell another 50M units just with Wii fit.



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lvader said:
The PS3 isn't selling more than it ever has, it's supply constrained. It did during the holiday season, same as the Wii. The Wii could easily sell another 50M units just with Wii fit.

No it is selling more than it has - check the figures. And the shortage is being sorted with the release of FF13 and GoW3 due. The facts are simple:

The PS3 is selling more Week on week than it has done before

The Wii is not.

The 360 is not.


How can you derive from the above that all the consoles have peaked when in fact it looks like only two out of the three have?



Don't trust people with an avatar showing an Austrian.



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I'm a little skeptical to think that a new Zelda, SMG2 or Wii Vitality would help hardware sales very much. Just like a new Halo game on the X360 right now would barely move any hardware because everyone that wants to play Halo already owns a X360 (just look at Halo ODST and Wars). So that eliminates the new Zelda and Super Mario Galaxy 2. Now Wii Vitality, that's the tricky one it very well could end up like another Wii Music though. I'm sorry but I don't really see anything that exciting about knowing your pulse? Maybe it does other things as well but is it really a system seller, will people that don't own a Wii think hmm I want to buy a Wii to be able to use Wii Vitality, I don't really think so. I think it'll take the same fate as Zelda and SMG2, it'll sell a lot but won't move much hardware.



Gilgamesh said:

I'm a little skeptical to think that a new Zelda, SMG2 or Wii Vitality would help hardware sales very much. Just like a new Halo game on the X360 right now would barely move any hardware because everyone that wants to play Halo already owns a X360 (just look at Halo ODST and Wars). So that eliminates the new Zelda and Super Mario Galaxy 2. Now Wii Vitality, that's the tricky one it very well could end up like another Wii Music though. I'm sorry but I don't really see anything that exciting about knowing your pulse? Maybe it does other things as well but is it really a system seller, will people that don't own a Wii think hmm I want to buy a Wii to be able to use Wii Vitality, I don't really think so. I think it'll take the same fate as Zelda and SMG2, it'll sell a lot but won't move much hardware.

You all made the same arguement with New Super Mario Bros. Wii... saying it wouldn't move hardware because Mario fans already had a Wii because of Super Mario Galaxy, Mario Kart Wii, Super Paper Mario, and every other Mario spinoff game on Wii.


Look how that turned out.



Kenology said:
Gilgamesh said:

I'm a little skeptical to think that a new Zelda, SMG2 or Wii Vitality would help hardware sales very much. Just like a new Halo game on the X360 right now would barely move any hardware because everyone that wants to play Halo already owns a X360 (just look at Halo ODST and Wars). So that eliminates the new Zelda and Super Mario Galaxy 2. Now Wii Vitality, that's the tricky one it very well could end up like another Wii Music though. I'm sorry but I don't really see anything that exciting about knowing your pulse? Maybe it does other things as well but is it really a system seller, will people that don't own a Wii think hmm I want to buy a Wii to be able to use Wii Vitality, I don't really think so. I think it'll take the same fate as Zelda and SMG2, it'll sell a lot but won't move much hardware.

You all made the same arguement with New Super Mario Bros. Wii... saying it wouldn't move hardware because Mario fans already had a Wii because of Super Mario Galaxy, Mario Kart Wii, Super Paper Mario, and every other Mario spinoff game on Wii.


Look how that turned out.


Hell even CoD MW2 boosted PS3/360 HW. SMG2/Zelda is guaranteed to.