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Forums - Sales Discussion - Which HD console will reach 60m first?

 

Which HD console will reach 60m first?

Xbox 360 (Natal/Halo/pricecuts to the rescue) 66 25.38%
 
PlayStation 3 (slimomentum + GT5 savior) 138 53.08%
 
Wii HD (lol Pachter) 18 6.92%
 
None (everyone putters ou... 38 14.62%
 
Total:260
superchunk said:
not going to happen. 2012 will usher in new machines and as usual the "losers" will fade out really quickly.

PS3 will hit 60 million before end of 2012. 360 too



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fwap said:
leo-j said:
Ninten78 said:
I dont think xb or ps3 will ever make it

do you think they wont make it, or DO YOU WANT THEM NOT to make it?

On topic:

PS3, I believe once sony stops there little "demand is too high, = shortages" bull crap they are spewing, the ps3 should see an increase in HW sales, by the end of the year I suspect some game bundles (or arc bundles) will be announced without a price increase, or a small $20-$50 price cut.

360 WILL NOT see a dramatic increase in sales with a price cut, its already $199, once a console hits that price, that's were most of its sales come from. Now whether or not NATAL is a huge run away success, and HALO REACH becomes the 10million plus HALO 4 like system seller, is still up in the air, but knowing microsoft, so far all they have been doing this gen is perfect for atleast 2nd place.

Do you think they will make it, or DO YOU WANT THEM to make it?

I think they'll both putter out. Slim effect is weakening, I don't see the Arc having any real effect whatsoever. Software will bump sales up for the PS3 every so often but nothing long-term, and another price-drop won't have the same effect.

Natal may have initial success due to Microsoft hype but I don't see it catching on.

And I agree in thinking that a new console may be released from either HD manufacturer sooner than most people are expecting.

are you a complete noob? how will a ps3 price drop not have the same effect? it still $299. the biggest effect is YET TO COME.



kowenicki said:
binary solo said:
If PS3 sells 12 million per year it will take just over 2 1/4 years to reach 60 million. In the same period of time 360 only needs to sell at a rate of 9.5 million per year. Easily beatable by 360. 12 million per year by PS3 is quite likely over the next couple of years.

If PS3 sells 13 million per year it will take just over 2 years to get to 60 million. In the same period of time 360 needs to sell at a rate of 10.3 million per year. Also pretty achievable by 360, in the last 2 years 360 has averaged 10.6 million. At least as achievable as PS3 selling 13 million per year for the same period of time, possibly more achievable.

If PS3 sells 14 million per year to get to 60 million then 360 will need to sell 11.1 million per year. I think it's a tougher ask for PS3 to sell 14 million per year than it is for 360 to sell 11.1 million.

Overall the probabilities are in the favour of 360 getting to 60 million. And I definitely think both machines can be on the market long enough to get there. 70 million would be a very different matter.


Don't come into a thread like this with reasoned and well thought out statistical answers... speaking from experience they usually get ignored as an inconvenient truth.

having said that.. I agree with you.

Yeah, sorry about that.

I just noticed a typo...runs off to fix in the initial post.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

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Only PS3.

Gran Turismo 5 will destroy competitors.



None,2012 is the end of everything!



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PS3.

360 depends on if Natal takes off Wii-sized. Which i don't think it will be.



                            

kowenicki said:
Carl2291 said:
PS3.

360 depends on if Natal takes off Wii-sized. Which i don't think it will be.

doesnt need anywhere near wii-sized reaction.. binary solo post above will help clear that fog in your mind....

Yeah well, only cool people post before reading the entire thread.



                            

kowenicki said:
Carl2291 said:
kowenicki said:
Carl2291 said:
PS3.

360 depends on if Natal takes off Wii-sized. Which i don't think it will be.

doesnt need anywhere near wii-sized reaction.. binary solo post above will help clear that fog in your mind....

Yeah well, only cool people post before reading the entire thread.


I am ultra cool then... I fall into that trap so often...

Haha, I've read an 8 page thread from start to finish and then realising that I had no opinion on the matter worth posting :P



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the ps3 can't have pricecuts?



For it to happen, the HD consoles would need to rely so heavily on their motion controllers for innovation, that for all intents and purposes they should be considered new consoles.

Probably it will happen, though.