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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - I don't think Wii will suffer much from shortages this holiday season

abroZ on 17 November 2007

First of all, this is my first post/thread, hello!

Now i wanted to get something clear. So Harrison says Nintendo manufactures 1.8 million Wii a month. Let's say they began producing 1.8 mil wii a month since september (it probably began earlier, but let's say september). That means for the period from september to december (4 month) Nintendo produces 4 x 1.8= 7.2 million Wiis.

Now I added the worlwide sales number for Wii using VGChartz data. I started counting from the week ending september 8th until now (week ending september 10th). The ten weeks in between Wii sold 2.472 678 according to VGChartz. Now if we subtract this number from 7.2 mil we have 4 727 322 consoles left for the following seven weeks. I think that's a decent number not?

 Or does my reasoning exclude some major factors?

 *edit*: For the remaining 7 weeks Wii would have to sell an average of 675 000 systems a week to reach that number. I don't doubt it wiil and probably surpass it slightly, but i don't think Nintendo will fall short of console supply as drastically as so many articles state.



Think for yourself, question authority

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endurance on 17 November 2007

hi and welcome to vgchartz
now back on topic,i think thats a good number but smg plus wii fit is a big combo and last holiday wii sold 3.2 million so i think this year it could do more,the only place i think it will suffer from shortages is in america and in som europe places(like uk and france)



Avinash_Tyagi on 17 November 2007

If JohnLucas is right about Wii fit then there will be shoratages everywhere



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

endurance on 17 November 2007
Avinash_Tyagi said:
If JohnLucas is right about Wii fit then there will be shoratages everywhere

haha yeah so true



endurance on 17 November 2007
Soriku said:
JL is always right X_X He should become a professional analyst.

he makes wild predictions but alot of them are close and it would be good if we had a john lucas for ps3 and for 360



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Avinash_Tyagi on 17 November 2007

He's smarter than pachter



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

abroZ on 17 November 2007

Well, Wii Fit only comes out in Japan this year. Unlike mario I expect it to sell buckloads of consoles but no way on par with wat galaxy will do with American and European console sales. I expect Wii to sell 1.2 million from now till the end of the year in japan. That leaves 3.5 mil for the US and Others. Let's say US get 60% of them that's 2.1 million consoles America and 1.4 million for Others. Shoud be just about...a little short.



Think for yourself, question authority

Avinash_Tyagi on 17 November 2007

I think Wii will sell far more than 1.2 in Japan, Wii fit will probabaly drive 2 million + in sales this december i nJapan, probably pushing Wii to sell out all over the country, and we already know it'll outsell in NA and Europe, so I disagree I think it will be sold out by the 20th of decmber



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

endurance on 17 November 2007
Avinash_Tyagi said:
I think Wii will sell far more than 1.2 in Japan, Wii fit will probabaly drive 2 million + in sales this december i nJapan, probably pushing Wii to sell out all over the country, and we already know it'll outsell in NA and Europe, so I disagree I think it will be sold out by the 20th of decmber

yeah then around january supply will become normal again



Avinash_Tyagi on 17 November 2007
endurance said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
I think Wii will sell far more than 1.2 in Japan, Wii fit will probabaly drive 2 million + in sales this december i nJapan, probably pushing Wii to sell out all over the country, and we already know it'll outsell in NA and Europe, so I disagree I think it will be sold out by the 20th of decmber

yeah then around january supply will become normal again


 No probably March or April



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)