TheSource's Threads - page 1


    L9: Reaper (11,951 until level 10)
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    Recent Posts

    < 1 - 20 of 472 <
    Write 4

    Weather Prediction Market

    in General Discussion, last active on on 25 October 2015

    I am getting ready to launch a weather prediction market pitch on Indiegogo. It is called Raindance Weather (more info - www.raindancewx.com). The Indiegogo isn't live yet - I need to design a Youtube video pitch first.  Would any of you use that? The idea is anyone who registers can bet on seasonal weather outlooks for the USA. How much snow will you get? How hot will it be in the summer...

    Write 5

    PS4 owners love porn more than Xbox 1 owners...

    in Gaming Discussion, last active on on 08 January 2014


    Write 26

    So...Is Any HW Going to Top 4m Units in the US in 2013?

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 01 May 2013

    Here is what we have roughly (from NPD) for 2012 vs. 2013 in January to March, adjusting for the five week January in 2013 vs. the four week January in 2012.                     13 weeks                14 weeks                   Jan - Mar 12'    ...

    Write 22

    Update on the Mexican Video Game Industry

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 09 May 2013

    http://onceandfuturemexico.wordpress.com/2012/03/17/mexbox-rising-mexicos-gaming-industry-turns-into-a-monster/ https://onceandfuturemexico.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/mexico_grijs-01_tn3.png ...

    Write 9

    10% Out in 2008 for mid 2013

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 14 March 2013

    In February 2008, I had projected Wii at around ~110m in 77 months from launch (when GC had sold 22m). Converted to years, 77 months is six years and five months. Wii launched November 2006.  It looks like Wii will be at 100 million in 77 months (April 2013), rather than 110 million as I had thought back in 2008. It's actually pretty amazing how consistent Wii has stayed at 5x the level of...

    Write 10

    2013: The Year of 10 Hardware Platforms

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 17 February 2013

    It just occured to me that 2013 is probably going to have ten nominally unique hardware platforms: Nintendo: DS, Wii, 3DS, Wii U Reasons for four platforms: DS & Wii are still probably a combined 40-60m software market this year as there are probably 10 million game purchasing DS users and 20 million game purchasing Wii users yet (who will combine to buy about two games this year on...

    Write 2

    Retrospective on 2012, Look at 2013

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 01 February 2013

    Looks like my outlook on 2012 was pretty good (although I was a little high on almost everything) http://www.vgchartz.com/article/88795/the-big-three-shipment-update-through-december-2011/                2012E         2012 Actual (VGC) Wii          6-9m              ...

    Write 8

    US Console Growth From Year 1-8 Aligned, Since 1985

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 12 January 2013

    This should show pretty clearly how big the current consoles have become in the US, particularly Wii & X360 which will each end up at over 90% of the PS2 base lifetime. ...

    Write 56

    The PS3 / X360 SW Drop Off is now entering the terminal phase

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 08 January 2013

    It looks like the PS3 / X360 software market has entered the danger zone for game purchase rates per year, where the size of the base begins to become meaningless to sustaining the overall software market. The official cut off to me is two games per user in the decline part of the cycle. Once you decline from two games purchased per average user, no amount of hardware sales can mask the declining...

    Write 21

    Nintendo Indirectly Gives It's WW / VC / DSW / 3DS W / Downloadable Game Figures

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 26 October 2012

    http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/library/events/121025/03.html   Looks like Nintendo games have made about $500m since April 2007. That may not sound like much, but it comes to about 70 million games at $7-$8 a pop, and I don't think this includes third party games....

    Write 22

    Nintendo's Half Year Results

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 25 October 2012

    Q1 - 18b Yen lost Q2 - 10b Yen lost H1 (Apr-Sept) - 28b Yen lost (down from 70.3b Yen lost last H1) H1 Revenue - 201b Yen, down from 215.7b Yen in H1 of the prior fiscal year (Apr - Sept 2011). Half Year had been projected to reach 230b Yen / 20b Yen lost Full year projection - Before: 20b Yen profit...but now: 6b Yen Profit. Full Year projection - Before: 820b Yen revenue...but now: 810b...

    Write 30

    US HW Market Looking To Be Weakest in a Decade

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 17 October 2012

    If you look at January - September hardware figures in the US, it looks like the market is in for a very shitty year overall compared to the last decade -      Jan-Sept                 2012              2011                2010          ...

    Write 8

    Balloon Fiesta 2012

    in General Discussion, last active on on 13 October 2012

    I'm just guessing...but my morning was better than yours :) ...

    Write 20

    Parov Stelar

    in General Discussion, last active on on 17 September 2012

    ...Why the fuck was I not informed that electro-swing was a thing. Stuff like this is brilliant. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-BsAl6HVZ-Y&NR=1&feature=endscreen...

    Write 18

    Dragon Quest X Preorders Top DQ Collection Preorders 9 Days out from Launch

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 05 August 2012

    So as of July 25th it looks like DQX has 155,000 preorders in Japan, last year Dragon Quest Collection only got to 140,000 preorders, and then it sold about 290,000 units week one. I reckon DQX will get to about 200,000 preorders. Typically games double their preorder level on Wii, but sometimes it's more like x1.5 or x1.75, either way, it looks like DQX is a pretty safe bet for a 300,000 -...

    Write 110

    Wii U Launch Line Up vs. Wii U Hardware...

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 18 June 2012

    I'm not entirely convinced Wii U will enhance gameplay and create new genres like Wii did, but it should enhance gameplay more than 3DS did...and possibly in similar ways to how DS did. For the launch though, it occured to me that the line up is actually very strong in terms of active fanbases, genres, and diversity. Let's take a look - Launch Window Headliners (Franchises with about 10m fans...

    Write 18

    Dragon Quest X

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 09 May 2012

    Looks like Dragon Quest X is starting to climb up the preorder charts in Japan now (at least for Wii, no idea on Wii U just yet). Anyone want to be brave and call how well the game will do week one? The semi-recent Dragon Quest Collection (old DQ games on a disc essentially) sold around 400,000 on Wii in Japan off the top of my head. Even with a two platform format and a slightly different style...

    Write 3

    The Wall of Greatness

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 04 May 2012

    Six fiscal years of major Nintendo published hits for Wii in one chart - everything over 1m is an official shipment figure, everything under 1m is an estimate. The Mario Galaxy 1 estimates for the year to March 2011 / March 2010 are designed to mesh with the stated total given by Nintendo through March 2012 after the game jumped back up when sold at $20 for the year.   ...

    Write 128

    Seece in April 2011: Kinect Guarenteed to top 10m in Q4 2011!, Motion Controls Still A Fad!

    in Website Topics, last active on on 20 April 2012

    Seeeece: haSeeeece: you're worried about kinect! LOL, more like you want it to flop on its feet more like ..Seeeece: don't worry though, it'll ship 10 mill this Winter.Seeeece: sad you don't have the easy foresight to see thatSeeeece: it's gonna be big again whether you like it or notme / thesource: what exactly can you name thats gone from 400k to 10m in a non-holiday to christmas quarter?...

    Write 50

    A Visual Look at Why the Industry Needs New Consoles

    in Sales Discussion, last active on on 24 April 2012

    I dug up some old data for the US (NPD) I had and adjusted it from Jan-Dec to April-March years starting with April 1994-March 1995 and running through April 2011-March 2012. The console cycle is still in full effect...and if tradition holds the year to March 2013 is going to be dogshit for US consoles compared to previous highs even with Wii U (it will only be on the market for like five months...

    < 1 - 20 of 472 <

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