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TheSource

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    L9: Reaper (11,951 until level 10)
    TheSource
    • A 32 year old male gamer
    • United States
    • Joined on January 9th 2007, last online on 10 June 2019.
    • Profile Views: 70,263
    • Forum posts: 3,792 times which averages 1 posts per day
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    Recent Posts

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    Write 23

    Nintendo E3 2019 Direct Bingo

    in Nintendo Discussion on 10 June 2019

    Game of the show so far is Just Dance 2020 for Wii, just to put the bullet in the head of the ten-year life cycle nonsense...consoles with high user bases have long tails folks. ...

    Write 122

    Nintendo Switch Best Selling Home Console in History during first 12 months in the US.

    in Nintendo Discussion on 21 March 2018

    Will be interesting to see if anything ever reaches a 50m install base in the US market. Probably feasible now with the US population set to be around 330m people as the Switch peaks. DS got to 60m in the Americas, but I don't think it hit 50m in just the US. Wii/X360/PS2 are got to the mid-40s....

    Write 59

    Famitsu: Super Mario Odyssey sold 511,625 units within first three days in Japan

    in Sales Discussion on 01 November 2017

    For the Comgnet numbers, you have to user different multipliers than on Wii or Wii U since it has a portable aspect. Comgnet is more of a console audience...or at least it used to be....

    Write 22

    Which VGChartz pages would you like to see made

    in Website Topics on 24 October 2017

    If you have ideas, might be easier for Talonman to see a picture than a bunch of text walls. Put it on imgur so he can see...

    Write 577

    NeoGAF in shambles (now back, no OT discussion, statement from Evilore)

    in General Discussion on 22 October 2017

    Part of the problem with Neogaf is that people who are committed to games enough to talk about them anonymously on forums, well into their 30s, 40s, 50s, aren't exactly social butterflies. So you would get weird insane arguments about things that don't matter. If you want an example of how people can talk about politics or the subject matter sanely without vitriol and hatred, just look at...

    Write 577

    NeoGAF in shambles (now back, no OT discussion, statement from Evilore)

    in General Discussion on 21 October 2017

    We used to get so much bitching from that site in the old days. Never really understood the position of their users, it was pretty obvious that their traffic was largely driven by doing what NPD wanted. The joke of Neogaf was they thought Vgchartz was a threat to NPD, it wasn't - NPD has lots of users paying lots of money and we were never going to change that. We were a threat to Neogaf site...

    Write 421

    Predict When will Ps4 Outsell Wii

    in Gaming Discussion on 13 October 2017

    PS4 is a cash cow for Sony - that's the biggest advantage it has over PS3. 95m-125m is what I'd go with personally, and a lot has to go wrong for it to be at only 95m. Sony had no reason to keep PS3 around once the PS4 was up and running profitably. ...

    Write 42

    Can Switch dethrone the Wii ..... on the dance floor?

    in Nintendo Discussion on 30 September 2017

    Wii had ~50 million female users, who are less likely to care about graphics and the latest trends. When/if they migrate, there will be social effect and the game will do well on Switch. Sometimes it seems like people only upgrade to a new system every two generations - because if you don't play that many games and don't spend much cash on games, why not keep playing your PS1 til 2005 or your NES...

    Write 101

    Credit Suisse Lifts Nintendo Rating to Outperform, Predicts 130 Million Switch Units Sold by 2022

    in Sales Discussion on 19 September 2017

    ~15 million in ~9 months for 2017. Implies 20m pretty easily doable next year. Price cuts, more people than DS/Wii era, more people willing to buy multiple systems because it is portable. I'd go 125m by end of 2022, not by March 2022, but it's not crazy. Will beat Wii in Japan, has a good shot at beating Wii in the US without DS/X360 existing as successful platforms co-currently for most of its...

    Write 96

    What's causing the delays in chart updates?

    in Gaming Discussion on 02 August 2017

    Whatever happens with the Switch for the graphic, it's time to get rid of the Wii/X360/PS3 graphic on the front page. Doesn't matter anymore, that era is long over....

    Write 376

    Switch Sales Predictions: Open Your Eyes - UPDATE: Switch LTD Shipments Reach 36.87m by June 30th, Forecast for Fiscal Year 2019 Remains at 18m

    in Sales Discussion on 01 August 2017

    The Switch will probably have better Japanese support than the Wii (eventually) with less third party support from Western developers than Wii. In 2007-2010, developers could support PSP, DS, Wii, or PS3 in Japan. This era, 3DS is already declining, Vita is fairly irrelevant, and PS4 is probably going to peak this year and next year in Japan for software. We don't seem to be getting a 3DS or Vita...

    Write 186

    Rate the XBox E3 Press Conference

    in Microsoft Discussion on 11 June 2017

    The mean vote is hanging out around 5.1/10. Was 5.1 at 83 votes, 90 votes, and 106 votes. I was looking through the Xbox 1 reveal thread earlier, that's a fair bit worse than when the Xbox 1 was revealed. ...

    Write 4

    Weather Prediction Market

    in General Discussion on 25 October 2015

    Good to know you'd be interested. When I launch the Indiegogo campaign I'll link to it here and provide more information. Hoping to launch the campaign by the end of the month....

    Write 4

    Weather Prediction Market

    in General Discussion on 24 October 2015

    I am getting ready to launch a weather prediction market pitch on Indiegogo. It is called Raindance Weather (more info - www.raindancewx.com). The Indiegogo isn't live yet - I need to design a Youtube video pitch first.  Would any of you use that? The idea is anyone who registers can bet on seasonal weather outlooks for the USA. How much snow will you get? How hot will it be in the summer...

    Write 39

    Can PS4 break Wii's record of 231 consecutive weeks above 100k?

    in Sales Discussion on 29 December 2014

    PS4 should have a more pronounced peak than Wii, but it's not going to have three years of nearly identical sales like PS3 did. Japan will always be much weaker for PS4 too, which hurts the long tail for 100k / week purposes....

    Write 59

    Beginning of gen predictions vs. predictions now

    in Gaming Discussion on 27 December 2014

    3DS - 60-65M: Similar to GBA in Japan, much weaker than GBA in the west Wii U: 9-13m: Similar to GC in Japan, much weaker than GC in the west PS4: 85-95m: Similar lifetime figures (but flipped EU & NA) but much weaker in Japan than PS3 + X360 (80-85m west...+Japan) X1: 50-60m: Between X1 and X360 in West, very weak in Japan Vita: Weak Everywhere. Won't top 15m   3DS is past peak,...

    Write 177

    Microsoft to overtake Nintendo in Home Console Sales this Century

    in Sales Discussion on 26 October 2014

    I'll check back in 2099 to see if this thread statement ended up being true. ...

    Write 859

    August 2014 NPD Thread! PS4 - 190k, XBO - 160k, Wii U < 60k, PSV < 6k

    in Sales Discussion on 11 September 2014

    PS4 is now a full million behind Wii in its first full year (Jan - Dec 07 vs. Jan - Dec 14). Still expecting it to sell about 4m in the US in 2014, vs. >6m for Wii in 2007 and PS2 in 2001. The X360 & N64 did sell about 4m in their first full calendar years in the US though, so it's still pretty much a cinch for PS4 to top 20m in the US, and 30m is probably a safe bet too. It will be...

    Write 837

    July 2014 NPD Thread! PS4: 187k, XBO: 131k, Wii U: 81k

    in Sales Discussion on 16 August 2014

    It's looking like PS4 will be about 1m below where Wii & PS2 were after two US holidays, 15 months for PS2, 14 months for Wii & PS4. Xbox 1 is selling pretty horribly actually, it's just obscured by the fact that Wii U is selling even worse somehow. X1 is probably going to end up at 2.2-2.8m or something for the year, vs. maybe 1.5-1.7m for Wii U.  For 30 weeks we have average...

    Write 837

    July 2014 NPD Thread! PS4: 187k, XBO: 131k, Wii U: 81k

    in Sales Discussion on 14 August 2014

    It's pretty minor. Wii jumped from 400k to 700k in Feb 08 to March 08 with Smash, and then stayed at 700k+ a month. Then from March to April Wii went from over 700k in five weeks (over 140k / week) to over 700k in four weeks (over 175k / week).  Wii U went from 15k / week in May to 28k / week in June. The Mario Kart boost is essentially 40% of what it was on Wii....

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