Later than 2024 or never, it depends on how long both Ninty and 3rd parties will support it strongly. As a portable its specs are the top, and after PSV failure, Ninty will be able to decide how long NS will be the reference platform for the whole portable console market long enough to complete its planned lifecycle, but as a home console its RAM size is the bare minimum now, at least for most multiplats, one or two years after PS5 and XBTwo launch, most multiplats will arrive to require so much RAM that even the excellent streamlining Ninty consoles allow won't be enough to squeeze them into NS RAM. This will make NS lose a minority, but still a significant one, of its market, making it more long and difficult to fill the gap after, say, 2022. Still possible, but less easily than with 2020, 2021 and 2022 sales numbers. Anyhow, if NS will peak not this year, but next, the sales curve will extend longer and NS will have more chances even with its home console market part squeezing.
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