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curl-6 said:
zorg1000 said:

2021 still wont be very interesting, PS4 sold just under 1 million in its first year and there really isnt any reason to expect PS5 to do notably better than that.

NSW did about 4.5 million in 2019, a 10% decline in 2020 followed by a 25% decline in 2021 would put it around 3 million so it wouldnt be unlikely for NSW to sell 3x as much as PS5 in 2021.

I'd say there's a decent chance PS5 performs notably worse in Japan than PS4, that seems to be the trend, with PS4 looking likely to sell less than PS3 despite having much better Japanese support with a mainline DQ and MH.

With the information we have right now, I'd say there's 99.9% chances the ps5 will do considerably worse than ps4 in japan. Ps4 will end behind the ps3 even though it had everything going for it. From lower starting price, better japanese lineup and little competition. Now the ps5 will face the post peak years of switch followed by the switch 2.