PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

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zorg1000 said:

Soundwave said:

I think the OG Switch will continue to supported for several years past that, similar to 3DS but even moreso. But the big difference is Switch 1 titles will play on Switch 2 and probably they can do stuff like have higher resolution without much fuss. 

Switch 2 is probably gonna cost $350 at launch (this is a premium profit margin for Nintendo), so Switch OG + Switch Lite will serve the budget market for several more years. Switch Lite at like $169.99 ... no way is Switch 2 getting into that price range for *years*, so it has a valuable place in the market place. 

So original Switch is not going anywhere, could see it stocked on storeshelves well into 2025 if I had to bet. They are not going to want to budget on the premium price point for the newer model Switch because it's very lucrative. Everyone yells at Sony/Nintendo for not cutting hardware prices, but the reason is they simply make more money keeping a higher priced premium SKU. 

This will let Nintendo basically have their cake and eat it too ... they get the long cycle for the OG Switch but also get the increased business that a fresh business cycle brings them and because Switch 1 games should be able to run on Switch 2, there's not even a problem of separated libraries that way. 

Overall I agree with most of what you're saying but I still feel like 5 years is too soon.

I'm guessing March 2023 giving it 6 years with 2 years of support after that, similar to 3DS.

Yeah 2023 sounds about right; give it 6 years before replacement, 5 would be cutting it too short for such a successful system.