morenoingrato said:
I think the momentum carried after Iowa / NH is important. If Biden underperforms there, he might carry SC, but the lack of momentum might spill over to Nevada and later States. As for the Midwest working class, I consider that a Tossup between all 4. They all have their strengths in the area, one way or the other. I'd put Biden or Warren taking most of those States, with Pete sometimes pulling second place. The Northeast is interesting. Sanders will win Vermont (and that will be his only State), but New York is up for grabs. If Pete has momentum even he could take it. |
Pretty much this, and that's his biggest problem in my opinion. Harris is leading in both Iowa and New Hampshire, which might slow his campaign down considerably. He's leading in Nevada, but if he slows down Harris and Sanders might also beat him there. He's most probably going to win South Carolina afterwards since his lead is too large (even though Warren is rising there, too), but he is getting beaten by both Warren and Sanders in the latest California polls, which will cost him a lot of delegates, especially if he slows down any further. Even worse, Buttigieg is creeping up on his lane from behind...
On another note, Deval Patrick has now announced his candidacy. As if we needed any more candidates...
On the plus side, reading through his accomplishments, he seems to be more progressive than most other candidates, though still a far cry from Warren and Sanders in that regard.
Small list of his deeds as Governor of Massachusetts, copied from Wikipedia:
So yeah, not the worst possible candidate, but there are better alternatives imo.
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