Famitsu Sales: W37, 2019 (Sep 09 - Sep 15)

[kenjab]

PAOerfulone said:
So, I did a bit of digging and calculating for when the DS Lite and 3DS XL launched in Japan and how they affected DS and 3DS sales respectively before and after their launch.

DS Lite - Launched March 2, 2006:
Before: 43,765
After: 124,286 - 184% increase

3DS XL - Launched July 28, 2012
Before: 43,291
After: 239,273 - 453% increase

This is how the Switch Lite would affect sales next week if it has one of those two percentage increases:
Before: 51,619
After (184%) 146,590
After (453%) 285,303

We should expect the Switch Lite affect to be somewhere in the middle, although I think we'll get something closer to the DS Lite effect than the 3DS XL one. Next week's numbers are going to be big ones; Very important ones for the Switch and Nintendo.

The other big factor in comparing these two launches it what happened in the weeks following the release of the updated version.  With DS Lite, the number kept increasing every week for a number of weeks following the DS Lite launch.  In fact, the 124,286 at launch was the LOWEST weekly number for many months following.  The baseline essentially tripled.  The 3DS XL, however, was a one-time spike that immediately came down each following week, only staying over 100K for the next 3 weeks.  After 2 months, the baseline was almost the same as it had been before.

I think we can all expect a big launch week for Switch Lite, but I'm very interested to see what happens in the weeks following as well.