Official 2020 US Election: Democratic Party Discussion

[Bofferbrauer2]

tsogud said:

jason1637 said:

I don't think it's as black and white as it seems. Warren might have a lot of rich white people supporting her but she comes in 2nd in small donors and 5th in large donors (both behind sanders). So a large chunk of her base are not rich.

Her supporters tend to be more wealthier more college educated and white and that is the difference between her and Sanders who leads with working class individuals and has a more diverse range of support. I'm not saying that their supporters always fit this bill, I'm just saying that if this trend continues, which the media coverage of her suggests it might, you could see this becoming more apparent.

https://politico.com/interactives/2019/how-the-2020-candidates-break-down-in-the-polls-so-far/

I actually think that both together would make one hell of a team. Sanders has the most diverse supporters, Warren the most white. Sanders supporters tend to have lower education, while Warren supporters tend to be college educated. That list goes on and on, basically both together cover most of the economic and ethnic groups and whatsnot in the US.

In other words, if they want to go for most voters on election day, then Sanders/Warren would be the Dream Team, no matter who's running for president and who's the running mate, as they each would pull a lot of support for the other one.

Mnementh said:

Actually, I expect Delaney being one of the candidates surest to stay until at least Iowa caucus. He gave up his house seat, started early campaigning, invested a lot of his own money. He wants something from this candidacy. I am not sure what, probably he believes his own ideology deeply and thinks only he can solve the problems. Anyways, as he is self-financing, he CAN stay until Iowa. Other candidates might be forced to drop out for lack of money, as you said for Williamson.

Yeah, I also don't understand why @SpokenTruth was expecting Delaney to drop out now. With Messam I don't know what to expect like I said, but the next 2 candidates on my list who might drop out are Bullock, Ryan, Bennet, De Blasio and Gillibrand. Bennet, Bullock, Blasio (the B-Team) and Ryan never really got anywhere, while Gillibrand just dropped more and more and more.  What probably keeps Gillibrand (and to a lesser degree, Bennet) from dropping out of the race despite having lost almost all of her support is that she also has the most cash on hand and only spent about one third of her money.

Of course, I also expected Inslee to go at least until the fourth debate, so my expectation might be a bit off here.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 25 August 2019