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Next weeks will be interesting to watch.

Juli was packed full last year: Captain Toad, Sonic Mania Plus, Octopath Traveler, Shining Resonance: Refrain, Taiko Drum, Megaman X collection, Ys VIII... that will be very hard to keep up with this year as most big titles come out after Obon week this year.

So against that big lineup, we got this year: Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3, Attack on Titan 2: Final Battle, God Eater 3, Fire Emblem: 3 Houses and Rune Factory 4 Special. Not a whole lot, and mostly coming around the end of the month (Crash Team racing just didn't make it, coming out August 1st)

August should be more evenly matched, and then September the Switch starts it's afterburner. Sales in September were comparatively weak and SMP didn't bring much of a sales boost in October (though it's probably one of the reasons for the higher weekly sales this year), so in these two months the Switch this year should grow it's lead even without any new model or pricecut.

I expect about 500k lead over last year by the time Pokemon comes out. The big question is: will that be enough to hold against the PLG/SSBU 1-2 punch from last year? Or is the help of a revision/permanent pricecut needed to stay ahead?