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A lot of Skyrim's success is attributed to the era of its launch and the mod community, it was a great game at the time of release but it came at the perfect time for such a game and the mod community also gave it the longevity to reach the sales it has to the point a lot of people don't even play or have not played Skyrim's vanilla game.

I feel CP can possibly sell 15m but not the 30m as it would require an equivalent community behind the game to reach those numbers as such numbers are obtained in the very long run.