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haxxiy on 31 May 2019
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Mnementh said:

The DNC apparently has released the the qualifying criteria for the third debate. This time both criteria (unique donors and polling) have to be met and both criteria have higher thresholds. You need both:

  • 135,000 unique donors
  • four polls released between June 28 and August 28 with 2% or higher for the candidate

Looking at the current field, this will be hard to achieve for a lot of contenders. So for the third debate probably less than 10 contenders will qualify.

Nate Silver from 538 has made a quick analysis: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/silver-bulletpoints-whos-in-danger-of-missing-the-third-debate/

It should have been this from the start.

The wide field is favoring Uncle Joe, and I don't think he'd fare much better than Hillary with his creepy antics.

(edit: that is probably enough to defeat Trump, but I'm thinking more about the potential to help state and local elections)

Last edited by haxxiy - on 04 June 2019