RolStoppable said:
Since I was never one of the people who claimed that it is a sure thing that Switch will either sell through 20m+ in calendar year 2018 or ship 20m+ in the fiscal year ending March 2019, that sort of argument doesn't apply here. I am not contesting that sales of already released Sony games will continue to grow, nor do I contest that upcoming Sony games will be big sellers. I am accounting for both the Sony and Nintendo side of things all the same. Here's the list of Nintendo's top 10 as it was at the time this thread was created: Super Mario Odyssey - 11.17m (+0.76m) Nintendo's pace over the last nine months has been much faster than Sony's, hence why I conclude that the final results will be very much in Nintendo's favor. Nintendo has lined up more for the next nine months than Sony, and of course Nintendo also has the edge when it comes to the legs of already released games. |
Where did you get the notion that Nintendo's pace over the last 9 months has been much faster than Sony's??.
First of all, Nintendo numbers are shipped, Sony's numbers are always sold to consumers. That's an important point to note.
Second point. Uncharted 4, is a perfect example of legs. The game was announced to have sold to consumeres 8'7M by the end of 2016. So in 2017, 2018 and half 2019 the game has sold another 8M of units to consumers....That's are very good legs for me. Horizon Zero Dawn, started with 2'6M sold to consumers in 2 weeks, 7'6M sold to consumers in 12 months, and "more than 10M" sold to consumers after 24 months, so another 3M sold in a year. I'm pretty convinced that GOW and Spiderman will match that level of legs and even surpassed them.
"Nintendo has lined up more for the next 9 month than Sony". What?. Do Days Gone, The Last of Us Part II, Dreams, Ghosts of Tsushima, Death Stranding disappeared all of a sudden??. What new games does Nintendo have for the next 9 months to match those games??. Super Mario Maker 2, Pokemon Sword& Shield, Animal Crossing and......what exactly? What i am missing? Do we count unannounced games??