The thing is though, those calculations don't and can't take a possible PS5/neXtbox reveal into consideration. Even if a super slim is announced and one SAD released, PS5 and neXtbox may well negate it.
Well actually, since the 16M were an announcement for Shareholders, they have to been taken into consideration - or more precisely, the lack thereof this year. If they would announce the PS5 this year already, then the sales would plummet, and Sony would have been forced to cut the sales target, which in turn would make their share price plummet. And that's something they can't afford to do.
My thoughts as well, something needs to happen as it seems both USA and Japan are dropping quite a bit.
Something has to be up their sleeves for 2019. TloU2 might be the game, and a super slim might be the system that makes them reach their goal.
Yeah, Pricecut, Superslim, and TLOU2 are pretty much the necessary trinity to keep the sales at 16M for this FY. Let's see what new stuff they announce around E3 (since Sony won't attend E3 this year) and see how it plays out.
The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454