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Mbolibombo on 23 April 2019
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colafitte said:
Mbolibombo said:

Nintendo said during a briefing halfway through the fiscal year they were not going to change their 20M forecast, so yes they have mentioned 20M after the beginning of the fiscal year. 

I'm not saying VGC is tracking incorrectly, I'm saying dont blindly put all your eggs in the basket. VGC mentioned themselves that they have lost several trackers since the new year and they have done reactionary changes upwards to the weekly charts a numerous times over the past quarter. Including when their latest briefing released, and every single NPD leak/release. So no I dont put much faith in VGC tracking EU+RotW 100% accurate either, but who knows maybe they do have significantly better tracking in these regions. I much rather look at official shipping history combined with sell history and ratios to get my picture.

But it's all semantics, we argue about 0.5-1M units and we wont really come anywhere with this. If you're right on thursday(?) I will give you a cookie for having  a correct prediction! ;P

Hahaha fair enough, i will do the same if you're right.

I agree though in the fact tracking EU+RotW is difficult (i expressed my doubts about this multiple times in the past in fact), so that's why i can accept the possibility of Switch being undertracked. But i am completely honest telling you that if VGC is tracking correctly i'm 100% sure there won't be around 3M units left on stock by the end of March. To be 35'8M shipped Switch has to be around 34'0M sold to consumers, at least, and that means Switch is undertracked 1M here and i think that's too much. Maybe it can be something inbetween, like 35'3M shipped (17'5M for the year) and 33'3M sold to consumers. If you expect something like this, then i can agree with you, although i still expect what i said.

So settled then, it's this thursday then?, so we don't have to wait that much. I'll be here when the annoucement comes then.

I believe it's thursday the 25th yes =) Unsure if I will be here during the release, but during the day definately hah. If your prediction is correct, I will bring you with one swedish classic cookie ;P