Switch Close to Passing Sales of N64 (UPDATE: Now Passed!)

[CosmicSex]

RolStoppable said:

CosmicSex said:
Switch is a console so I think it should be asked if it can outsell the Wii. When looking at the PS4 it's kinda a forgone conclusion that it will not catch the PS2 due simply to the ridiculous 155+ sales. Therefore the only realistic conversation we can have is only relative to the PSOne. Yes it will pass it. But back to the Switch can it challange the Wii U for its number one console title?


You guys know that I dont think Switch will get anywhere near the Wii.

Yes, we know that. We also know that you don't understand how sales curves work, because you predict an incredibly sharp drop-off for Switch after 2019, which results in Switch selling only ~17m units from January 2020 until the very end of its lifecycle.

So if the goal is to have a realistic conversation, then the first thing that needs to happen is acknowledgement on your part that your outdated lifetime sales prediction for Switch does not make any sense at the current date anymore.

While I understand how sales curves work, it is also my belief that Nintendo will end, of it's own free will, the Switch.  I believe the rumors that say that there is a new version on the horizon.  That is why I insinuated that if we really treat it as a Pro then it will change the nature of the conversation.  

I hold that the Switch, in its current incarnation, will top out at 65 to 70 million before that happens.  An informed response would simply to suggest that the new model will in fact be a pro numbers and then I could have reevaluated.   

It sounds like we need to have a more grounded conversation where we try to understand each others projections or predictions.