With Nintendo's revised forecast, I think it might be time to reevaluate the Switch's growth potential in it's later years ...
Regardless of the booming Switch software sales, it is not correlating as strongly with their previous handheld's hardware sales. Switch owners are already ~18% more likely to own another first party game this early in it's life compared to 3DS owners of which the platform is nearing the end of it's life despite the fact that Nintendo has yet to release a couple of their more important franchises on the Switch and they've also released less entries thus far with existing franchises on the Switch compared to the 3DS. This seems to suggest that software sales are mainly being driven by growing interest from regular Nintendo customers themselves rather than new and unique hardware customers so the growing interest in Nintendo's franchises seems to be less organic since we're seeing a significant overlap of interests between Nintendo's franchises rather than growing interest from unique hardware customers ...
With much of their key franchises being released, there is still much more farther progress to be made in hardware sales. Without changing the fundamental such as a price cut it could get difficult to make inroads because a back catalog of released games can only maintain a platform for so long once they reach their saturation point at a certain price point ...
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