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Robert_Downey_Jr. said:

 

The_Liquid_Laser said:

 

I'm predicting Switch will sell more like the DS.  There will a spike in sales this year, especially near the end.  But then sales will get higher in 2020 and stay high in 2021 (and good legs after that, like the DS).  It will be more like the DS or PS1, both of which seemed slow out of the gate in retrospect.  Sometimes a console does much better one or two years later than you might first expect based on it's launch.  Switch is going to be a console like that.

Switch is already doing well based on its first party games, but it's going to get a lot more third party games and that will be noticable this year.  Hardware sales will follow.

I don't think third party titles will push the switch as much when there is a more powerful third party system out there that is extremely popular and will be able to undercut it due to not having a tablet.  Maybe portability will make those more desirable but that's not as much of a draw for people who don't commute plus the mobile games market continues to turn into cell and tablet games.  Switch will continue to get big nintendo software but third parties won't give it the same spike as PS4

I think if the third party titles are exclusives (like with 3DS and DS before it and even Wii a bit), then you may be incorrect in your analysis. It will not be about power when there is only one place to play the game. Nobody cares about the power of Switch when they know the only place to play Shin Megami Tensi 5 is on Switch. Get enough games like that and the case you make will evaporate.



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