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50 million lifetime sounds very achievable to me, I think it's lowballing a bit to suggest it won't reach this number.

It may be limping along relative to its competitors but its not like the Wii U where sales were at an absolute snail's pace. 5 million this year and 4 million beyond that shouldn't be too difficult. There's even room for price cuts; making the S $200 and the X $350 permanently could help keep sales rolling until their replacement arrives.

Heck, I'm honestly still skeptical we'll see Nextbox/PS5 in 2020 at all, it would not surprise me at all if they hold out til 2021.