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Intrinsic on 22 January 2019
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colafitte said:
Intrinsic said:

 

yup..... 

people can just forget about that price drop as long as sony can still manage like 16M+ sales at $299. I mean the NS has a smaller install base and is currently averaging around 16M/yr also at $299 and is still less than 2yrs old. 

Why should the 5yr+ old PS4 drop its price from $299 when its still putting up 18M+ years?

I will say it again' no price drop unless we have sub 2014 year numbers.

Did you not laugh at me the other day for saying PS4 is going to do 16M this year?? . Don't get me wrong, i'm saying that in a good mood, so i want to ask you again if you think i'm going to be wrong, because if i remember correctly, you expected 15M at most didn't you?

I really think PS4 is going to do 16M with or without price cut, and Switch is not going to do so much better as most people are expecing. I expecting an adjustment for Switch in 2018 being more like 16'5M in 2018, and something like 17'5-18M in 2019. So, if in the improbable situation that Sony did a huge price cut for PS4, PS4 would be very close to those numbers too in my opinion (but it won't happen in my opinion). 2019 software for PS4 is going to be legendary and if TLOU II launches this year.....buff.

Yes...... I am still expecting PS4 to do around 15M this year. WITHOUT A PRICE DROP. 

With a price drop around june this year to $199 then it will finish the year at around 17M. If the price drop comes around october instead then it finished the year at 16M. 

As for the NS I expect it to around sell around 2M more than whatever it sold last year. So if it finished 2018 at around 16.5M I expect it to do 18.5M in 2019 but only if its none holiday average sales (jan - oct) goes up by at least 5%. If however it remains flat or even drops through jan-oct then I expect it t sell n more than 1M more in 2019 vs 2018.