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I rethought the situation and I came to the conclusion that 20 mil. will be reached. To sell-through 9 mil. in Q3 is actually thinking moderately (most probably it will be closer to 10 mil.). If they sell-through 9 mil. it means the shipment will be around 11 mil. Regarding Q4 I think the following: Q2 (July to September) had no big releases (Mario Tennis Aces is actually a Q1 release, sold well so far but isn't really a system-seller, Octopath Traveler sold well too but isn't really a system-seller as well (except in Japan where it helped to sell systems), Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker is definitely not a system-seller) yet over 3 mil. units were shipped.

Q4 with the hype of Super Smash Bros. Ultimate and Pokémon Let's Go plus New Super Mario U Deluxe will definitely be stronger than Q2. I think 4 mil. shipment is a given.

Therefore, the grand total of shipment will be as follow: 11 mil. in Q3, 4 mil. in Q4  plus the 5.07 mil. of the first half year = 20.07 mil. in fiscal year.

Last edited by Fight-the-Streets - on 06 January 2019