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melbye said:
I think they will ship around 18.5 million and sell around 15 million

Well, they had 1.79m on shelves at the end of last FY, if they did these numbers they'd have shipped 5.29m more than they'd sold to consumers! Agree with your shipments prediction but think consumer sales will be better.

17.5-18m sell-through, 18.5m shipped is my guess.