DélioPT said:
curl-6 said:
That Nintendo's Switch software is selling more strongly than on prior consoles is a point in its favour, not against it. All the evidence points to its evergreen titles remaining strong sellers for years to come, including ones that are still to arrive like Animal Crossing, Smash, Gen 8 Pokemon, and more that we don't even know about yet.
And double the price is double the price whether it's 2006 or 2020.
Sony/MS will almost certainly offer what they always have; just their last system but with more power. That will not disrupt the Switch as it sells for entirely different reasons, just as the release of a new sports car won't unduly affect sales of motorbikes.
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What evidence are you talking about?
The way i see it: it can go either way: increased numbers overall for said franchises or burning through their potential market faster than in other generations.
A quick remember: I'm talking about end of product cycle sales, in a time when PS5 and XB2 are already out or incoming.
Obviously time doesn't change mathematic laws.
The real point is that we have seen PS4 sell more than 80 million consoles with a price that goes between 300 and 400$. That alone shows that customers are more willing to pay those high prices than they were back in the day, if the value is there.
So, you can't automatically assume that because one is cheaper, it will be ok.
What will determine one scenario or the other is what appeal Switch, PS5 and XB2 will have by then.
"That will not disrupt the Switch as it sells for entirely different reasons, just as the release of a new sports car won't unduly affect sales of motorbikes"
Things aren't that linear as you make them to be.
The moment that your market is being offered an alternative to your product, you're already in danger of losing marketshare/sales.
What determines if that happens and how much impact it has, depends, mostly, on brand fidelity. And so far, that clearly favours Sony and MS and not Nintendo (despite everything 2017 and 20018 brought, only 30% non PS/XB users).
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The evidence that Switch's evergreen titles are showing fantastic legs with nothing whatsoever to suggest this will change.
We're just going in circles now; you're still dancing around the fact that Switch is a totally different product from PS/Xbox that occupies a totally different niche; the fact that their sales aren't affecting each other does not support your argument, it totally undermines it, as it shows that they don't directly compete.
The only way your position would hold any water at all would be if you believe Sony/MS are going to create their own competing hybrids next gen.
