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I find it a little weird that they included FH4 sales in that chart as usually when you get the early access editions they hold off charting the game until the games official release.

Also there is quite a lot of data missing from them charts:
"Physical data includes all games, but only those sold in Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland."

So that means it's missing Physical sales data from the UK which sold out of the £80 Ultimate Edition and is the strongest market for Forza Horizon.