| Pyro as Bill said: @DélioPT If we're looking for signs, how about these: - No-one cares about 4K - No-one cares about VR - No-one cares about streaming games - No-one cares about Bluray++ - Fortnite Fortnite is the only one of the above that managed to stall PS4's and XB1's decline. A game like Fortnite being the next big thing is a good sign for Nintendo. More people have downloaded it on mobile devices than home consoles. More people have downloaded it on Switch than XB1X/PS4Pro (educated guestimate) but this isn't suprising given that casual games involving dancing and pets are always more popular on Nintendo systems than on the strongest consoles. The market has been telling Nintendo to combine their systems for the past 30 years. With the exception of CoD, every new/rebooted megahit of the past 2-3 generations has been either a mobile/portable game (PUBG, Fortnite, PokemonGo, Minecraft, NSMB) that didn't need high end graphics or had motion control (WiiSports/Fit/Kinect). Just like with touchscreen, casual games on the DS, Nintendo has already seen which way the wind is blowing and embraced the tech that could bring on their own demise. Nintendo is the only company that could make a success of a tablet in the era of Apple/Samsung. All the signs are pointing to Nintendo doing amazing while people are questioning the necessity of 4K/VR ie the PS5/XB2. |
It's not that people don't care about 4K, it's just that it's really hard to sell a console that is 400-500 that offers only a marginal improvement (also due to games not being built specifically for those specific systems) and then ask them to either have a 4K TV or spend another 400-500 dollars for that marginal experience.
Next gen the relevance of 4K might increase a bit.
" No-one cares about streaming games"
I've seen a lot of people talking against it, but it's because of the nature of a business built around it, but more because of fears or bad experiences with lag.
That problem won't last forever.
"More people have downloaded it on Switch than XB1X/PS4Pro (educated guestimate) but this isn't suprising given that casual games involving dancing and pets are always more popular on Nintendo systems than on the strongest consoles"
Without numbers i'll disagree with that guestimate, for 2 reasons.
First, Switch userbase is the smallest one.
Second, the other versions were already available for download since mid last year.
Not all casual experiences are the same. And in this case, they clearly aren't the same.
"Fortnite is the only one of the above that managed to stall PS4's and XB1's decline."
If that were true than it's pattern will be really erratic.
Last year was the peak year for PS4 while XB1 was pretty much the same. This year, XB1 is having it's best year while PS4 seems poised to go down.
I really can't see how Fortnite is affecting the above consoles.
"All the signs are pointing to Nintendo doing amazing while people are questioning the necessity of 4K/VR ie the PS5/XB2. "
You are also talking about the company that has the most mistakes for the three manufacturers.
All the exemples you gave above were either free games or games for a market that doesn't exist, with the exception of NSMB.
I'll agree that it has been one of Nintendo's best moves to bring those popular, free games to Switch.
But we can't also ignore that the other popular, non-free games are absent from Switch and will keep on being if Switch 2 can't deliver. And to those gamers, they keep showing that they prefer those free games plus the other non-free games of the same kind.
This is what Switch and Nintendo need to change.
