zorg1000 on 24 August 2018
| Alby_da_Wolf said: Given current gap, current weekly NS lead and Xmas boosts, plus other big games launches, it should definitely be possible. Those saying beginning of 2020 or even end of 2019 should do their maths better (XBOne should really plummet to make it possible), but H2 2020 should be not only possible, but also not too difficult. |
Why is late 2019 or early 2020 unrealistic?
End of 2017
NS, 13.1 million
XBO, 35.6 million
2018 estimates
NS, 17-18 million (LTD, 30-31m)
XBO, 8-9 million (LTD, ~44m)
2019 estimates
NS, 20 million (LTD, 50-51m)
XBO, 6-7 million (LTD, 50-51m)
Even if I'm slightly overestimating Switch, it's still entirely possible that it passes XBO in Q1/Q2 2020.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
