By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Barkley on 31 July 2018
Edit Thread
zorg1000 said:
Barkley said:

It's a bit weird they're sticking to a 20m forecast, if we compare to PlayStation.

PS4 : Q1 - 3.2m. Forecast - 17m
Switch : Q1 - 1.88m Forecast - 20m

The forecast is 3m higher but they're already 1.3m behind, are they really going to outship PS4 by 4.3m over the next 3 quarters?

Sure I think their FY shipments will be more skewed towards the holiday than PlayStation but not by enough to reach 20m.

Ive said in the past I expected them to overshoot but still reach 20m. (18.5m to consumers, 20m shipped for the fiscal year) but I don't think I believe they're going to do that anymore.

I think the holidays could have a 10+ million shipment. I think a good comparison is Wii in FY ending March 2010.

Q1-2.23

Q2-3.52

Q3-11.31

Q4-3.48

Still even that is only 20.4m and we're already behind that by 0.35m, atm I'm thinking my optimistic estimate is this:

Q1- 1.88m

Q2 - 3.2m

Q3 - 10m

Q4 - 3.6m

Full - 18.68m

 

Really I think anywhere from 17.2 - 18.9m is probably about right now.