BlackBeauty said:
Pokemon Go wasn't a mainline game yet it's the most successful pokemon game to date. Are you saying a game based on the most successful Pokemon game of all time won't be successful? The scary thing should be that Let's Go would be too successful that the main games will be treated as a secondary thing to The Pokemon Company. Similar to how Persona has eclipsed SMT. Pokemon Go itself already affected the company outlook as they've been producing way more mobile efforts and reducing console games. Even the president himslef thought the switch won't be successful that was one of the reasons why the main games are late. They stuck around with the 3ds in 2017 despite Gamefreak having the NX devkit since 2015. |
Agree, people here definitely underestimate Pokemon Lets Go no overestimating, its main Pokemon game that aims for broader audince compared to core RPG Pokemon, so this game easily be more popular than core RPG Pokemon game.
PAOerfulone said:
Pokemon by itself may not have the power to have it reach 20 million shipped. But it's got Smash Bros, releasing right behind it. Those are two of the biggest system sellers they have releasing within three weeks of each other, and in between them is Black Friday. Then add Super Mario Party on that list, which I think a lot of people here are underestimating, That game can do great numbers in October to get the momentum rolling and building right in time before the holiday season. Compare those three to the three they had the last three months of last year, Fire Emblem Warriors, Super Mario Odyssey, and Xenoblade Chronicles 2. It's no contest, this year's holiday lineup far exceeds last year's. I love Xenoblade 2, but come on now, that's not a system seller, neither is Fire Emblem Warriors. Super Mario Party is a far bigger system seller than both of those games and it's the third wheel behind Smash and Pokemon which one could make the case that those are just as big, if not even bigger system sellers than 3D Mario. Long story short: I think it it will reach that 20 million shipped figure. As for 18 million on the fiscal year, I assume that's sold and not shipped, because it'll absolutely reach the mark if it's shipped. Sold? Yes, but barely, I think. |
Agree, October-December for Switch with MarioParty, Pokemon and Smash Bros will be very strong quarter for Switch, espacily with maybe some bundles or Black Friday deals not to mentione possible price cut, so we probable talking about 10m+ for that quarter (last year was 7.25m).
quickrick said:
Mario kart will always keep on selling till a new mario kart comes out, what i''m trying to say is had it come out at the sametime as mario odyssey, it would probably never catch up sales wise that was my point. historically smash has never sold sold over 15 million, not even when you combine the 3ds and wiiu versions of the game. why would i look at amazon? it's never been good for software, and now its been off on hardware for 5 months. |
MK8D from start of year is selling stronger than Mario Odyssey despite point that MK8D launched 6 months earlier and thats a port.
Historically 3D Zelda also never had such a great sales, same goes for 3D Mario, Splatoon, Xenoblade Chronicles 2, Kirby, probably Mario Tennis, Mario Party...so point that Smash Bros never sold more than 13.5m and that Switch version will not sell more dont hold water, its obvious stronger games are selling great on Switch, with all on that mind Smash Bros Ultimate will probably be best selling Smash Bros game ever and we probable talking around 15m.