By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
BlackBeauty said:
Otter said:
hmm, I think people are over estimating pokemon. Its visibly not a mainline game. I think they will fall short unlesss we see a pricecut

Pokemon Go wasn't a mainline game yet it's the most successful pokemon game to date.

Are you saying a game based on the most successful Pokemon game of all time won't be successful?

The scary thing should be that Let's Go would be too successful that the main games will be treated as a secondary thing to The Pokemon Company. Similar to how Persona has eclipsed SMT.

Pokemon Go itself already affected the company outlook as they've been producing way more mobile efforts and reducing console games. Even the president himslef thought the switch won't be successful that was one of the reasons why the main games are late. They stuck around with the 3ds in 2017 despite Gamefreak having the NX devkit since 2015.

Agree, people here definitely underestimate Pokemon Lets Go no overestimating, its main Pokemon game that aims for broader audince compared to core RPG Pokemon, so this game easily be more popular than core RPG Pokemon game.

 

PAOerfulone said:
chakkra said:

Shipped?  Maybe

Sold through? Nope

And I do think that people over here are overestimating Pokemon. 

My reasoning? Well, X/Y is the best selling Pokemon game on the 3DS and yet it only gave it a 7% increase YoY (allowing it to reach 14.4m that year).  And Sun/Moon was the second best selling game and it only gave it a boost of 2% YoY.

Now, don't get me wrong, I think the Switch will definitely be up YoY but not enought to make it pass the 18m mark for the fiscal year. 

Pokemon by itself may not have the power to have it reach 20 million shipped. But it's got Smash Bros, releasing right behind it. Those are two of the biggest system sellers they have releasing within three weeks of each other, and in between them is Black Friday. Then add Super Mario Party on that list, which I think a lot of people here are underestimating, That game can do great numbers in October to get the momentum rolling and building right in time before the holiday season. Compare those three to the three they had the last three months of last year, Fire Emblem Warriors, Super Mario Odyssey, and Xenoblade Chronicles 2. It's no contest, this year's holiday lineup far exceeds last year's. I love Xenoblade 2, but come on now, that's not a system seller, neither is Fire Emblem Warriors. Super Mario Party is a far bigger system seller than both of those games and it's the third wheel behind Smash and Pokemon which one could make the case that those are just as big, if not even bigger system sellers than 3D Mario.

Add those three to go along with all their other 1st party titles that are still selling great numbers. 4 out of the top 10 best selling titles in the latest weekly numbers are Switch titles that came out last year, including Breath of the Wild and Mario Kart, which were launch date and launch window respectively. Those 4 games aren't going anywhere, anytime soon. 3D Mario, Open-world Zelda, Mario Kart, Splatoon, Pokemon, and Smash Bros., those are 6 of their 8 'A' tier system sellers right there, along with one of their 'B' tier games in Super Mario Party. I don't think it'll even be close, this year's holiday season is going to be up considerably over last year's to go along with the fact that it is consistently outpacing last year Week over Week. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=234574&page=1# 

Long story short: I think it it will reach that 20 million shipped figure. As for 18 million on the fiscal year, I assume that's sold and not shipped, because it'll absolutely reach the mark if it's shipped. Sold? Yes, but barely, I think.

Agree, October-December for Switch with MarioParty, Pokemon and Smash Bros will be very strong quarter for Switch, espacily with maybe some bundles or Black Friday deals not to mentione possible price cut, so we probable talking about 10m+ for that quarter (last year was 7.25m).

 

 

quickrick said:
BlackBeauty said:

U

Nice moving goal post there.

We’re talking about ports. Mario Kart 8 deluxe isn’t a brand new entry. And yes it’s bigger than zelda etc that’s true.

But deluxe also outsold the original Wii U version. 

And ok nothing to buy on switch? But why is Mario Kart 8 still top ten a YEAR LATER?

A port....

 

They could re release melee again on switch and it will still sell 15 million copies. Port or not port don’t matter it will sell regardless. i mean just look at amazon. 

 

Mario kart will always keep on selling till a new mario kart  comes out, what i''m trying to say is had it come out at the sametime as mario odyssey, it would probably never catch up sales wise that was my point. 

historically smash has never sold sold over 15 million, not even when you combine the 3ds and wiiu versions of the game. why would i look at amazon? it's never been good for software, and now its been off on hardware for 5 months.  

MK8D from start of year is selling stronger than Mario Odyssey despite point that MK8D launched 6 months earlier and thats a port.

Historically 3D Zelda also never had such a great sales, same goes for 3D Mario, Splatoon, Xenoblade Chronicles 2, Kirby, probably Mario Tennis, Mario Party...so point that Smash Bros never sold more than 13.5m and that Switch version will not sell more dont hold water, its obvious stronger games are selling great on Switch, with all on that mind Smash Bros Ultimate will probably be best selling Smash Bros game ever and we probable talking around 15m.