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It's a bit weird because I thought IHS got their XB1 LTD estimates by the end of 2016 very close. That said, their latest number is too high because that would mean a drastic reduction in the US:WW ratio which is not likely considering (1) what Microsoft said about Xbox hardware sales for Q3 FY2018, (2) the NPD numbers in that same time period, and (3) the vast majority of XB1X units were likely shipped for the US as it launched.