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It is highly likely that it will outsell XB1. Its more a matter of when. I think 2020 is most likely, but I could see it taking until 2021.

I will note that Nintendo must continue to release great games in order to keep selling consoles at anything close to the rate they have so far. If Kart, Smash, and Pokemon are solid, as they always are, then I think that will be enough to keep things going for a couple years. At that point, they should be around XB1 sales.