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CartBlanche said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
I doubt 2018 will be up against 2017, the PS4 is starting to get old and market saturation is slowly starting to set in, too. There's also not much Sony can do anymore with the price; a 50$ price cut is probably incoming this year but this will be probably the lowest the console will sell outside of promos

I do think however that while the PS4 as a whole won't be up, the PS4 Pro sales will be higher than 2017, slowly drawing closer to the base model's sales

Historically whenever Sony have dropped the price, sales have always gone up. So If you have other proof as to why a price cut would cause sales to drop instead, I'd love to read that link to see how that happened.

I don't say sales will drop after a price cut, but that sales will be down until a pricecut comes. More details further down

Intrinsic said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
I doubt 2018 will be up against 2017, the PS4 is starting to get old and market saturation is slowly starting to set in, too. There's also not much Sony can do anymore with the price; a 50$ price cut is probably incoming this year but this will be probably the lowest the console will sell outside of promos

I do think however that while the PS4 as a whole won't be up, the PS4 Pro sales will be higher than 2017, slowly drawing closer to the base model's sales

did you see what a one week price drop did in november 2017?

The one thing you so casually dismissed is the one thing that the PS4 can do that matters the most.

And I saw what happened the month after when the price got normal again - sales dropped like a rock (comparatively speaking). It means to me that the pricecut is overdue and sales will be slow (again, comparatively speaking) until that pricecut comes. The problem is that I fear it won't come until the holiday season, and then it will be too late to make up for the sales they lost in the months before compared to the last year

Mr.Playstation said:
Good to see that it's already up 5K. It will be interesting to see how this year unfolds.

It's still an estimation at this point which could be way off (both too high or too low). We will know more after we get some solid data outside of Japan. I do think though that the estimation is on track here, it's on the later months that I fear the PS4 won't be able to keep up with last year anymore