Zanten said:
Bandorr said:
As soon as they pass that disaster of a tax-bill they will be done with Trump. They rather throw him under the bus and try to stop the massive tidal wave coming for them at the end of 2018.
Tax-reforms with gimmicks like "infants in the womb get bank accounts" and "churches can now donate to political groups" along with the massive amount of money the 1% will get will be way more than enough to keep that section happy. Specially with the religious order that is Pence taking over.
All just guesses.
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Absolutely a possibility, though I wouldn't be surprised if the Republican Christmas list had a few more items to go.
Trump is, effectively, a lightning rod, and by dumping him the Republicans could no doubt try to absolve themselves of any responsibility in things that occurred under his term, including the things they are ACTUALLY very much responsible for. Because of Trump constantly going 'ME, ME, ME, ME, LOOKIT ME,' a lot of the attention and anger is, indeed, on him personally. This isn't a boon that's liable to show up again anytime soon, and historically having the first President to ever successfully be impeached be a Republican is going to have a cynical, political weight to it that the Republicans won't ignore. The tax plan itself is indicative of the Republicans' long-term plans, as although the cuts for those in high income brackets are permanent, those for middle and lower classes are actually temporary, set to decline and in fact increase taxes in roughly eight years, unless of course the Republicans step in to make them permanent. Which they say they will. But, let's face it, won't, especially if they think the Democrats are going to win sometime in the next eight years. =P
Pence, comparatively, is a more traditional scumbag Republican, and I'm not sure if they COULDN'T have just passed the tax plan and whatnot with Pence in the Oval Office. But unlike Trump I don't think he'd have the bizarre ability to keep everyone focused on what HE is doing, rather than what the Republicans on a whole are doing, or to take all the blame/credit upon himself. The moment they pull the impeachment card and bring in Pence, they're going to lose that smokescreen of angry tweets and unhinged behavior, and that's going to make it a lot easier to lay the blame on the doorstep of the Republicans as a whole, because Pence will be seen as a representative of the party as a whole, not just some off-the-wall lunatic who squeezed his way in.
Given how many of Trump's supporters seem to, astoundingly, support Trump HIMSELF rather than just supporting the Republican party as a whole, tossing Trump will similarly give up that magical, blame-deflecting armor he provides. People who would happily absolve Trump of things they'd criticize Obama or Clinton for are less likely to write a similarly blank cheque for Pence and Friends, especially if they perceive the impeachment as some form of betrayal.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying the Republicans would be right in sticking with Trump. The tactic seems kind of akin to protecting your head from the rain by holding a crazed, rabid wolverine right above it. Ultimately remaining aligned with Trump could prove more damaging than getting him out of office before his term ends...
...buuuuuut the Republicans might see this as a golden opportunity to do things that would normally impact public opinion and support among certain demographics, knowing that their public approval is already in the shitter because of Trump and that sooner or later they can just turn around and point a finger at him yelling "GEE WAS THAT GUY NUTS, OR WHAT?!? PHEW, GOOD THING WE'RE WITH ALL OF YOU GUYS! REMEMBER THOSE TIMES OUR SENATORS CRITICIZED HIM ABOUT THOSE THINGS?! WE WERE ON YOUR SIDE THIS ENTIRE TIME!!"
I think the Republicans turning against Trump is an inevitability. I'm just not sure they won't squeeze the orange for all the juice it can give first, and only turn on him after he has left office via election loss or (god fucking forbid,) term limit and can no longer be of any use. =P
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