More than this year for sure. I didn't used my Switch very often after Zelda Botw. A little after the Splatoon 2 release, that's all. At the moment it's under some cm of dust waiting for Xenoblade chrnonicles 2. Really hope to see more major RPG. Xeno 2 will be the first major (J)RPG to release on the console...
I think 5 to 6 could be ok including second and third party exclusives. Next year 3 are just confirmed(?) Pokémon, Metroid Prime 4 and Main Fire emblem title (I didn't count Yoshi and Kirby as major release).
Unfortunately Switch can't count on third party as PS4 and X1 cause Sony and Microsoft console are on the market since 2013 and the majority of players play third party games on them (due to the fact that are powerful than Switch, got a larger user base for online games, better controller etc... Joycons suck) so they need to gain popularity by more (important) exclusive titles.
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