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AngryLittleAlchemist said:

Depends on what you mean by "major". Yoshi and Kirby sell about as well as Forza, but the perception is that those are more so back catalog titles that you buy in addition with your console, rather than console sellers like Forza was(though it is decreasing). Perception is actually pretty interesting. It's easy to say that the PS3 won over the Xbox 360 as far as exclusives go, but Microsoft's 2nd, 3rd, and 4th biggest franchises were competitive with Sony's biggest franchises on the PS3. Just trying to bring up an interesting point, not trying to start shit.

I think it will need two major games per year. Major as in, 6+ million. Stuff like Yoshi, Kirby, that's icing on the cake. Let's not forget that console sellers can be exclusive to certain regions. I wouldn't be surprised if Nintendo tried super hard to push Metroid Prime 4, to the point that it becomes a major console seller in America and certain parts of Europe. But that's just wishful thinking on my part ...

Microsoft had four major franchises to play with last gen. Now they only have three and Fable will not have the power it once had. Fable was an aimless franchise and it didnt need sales to make Lionhead to fall apart, but rather bad leadership and a lack of a testament to the greatness Molyneux sold. Their market share is smaller so less people will buy their exclusives. This is why they've had such trouble with single player games this gen. Sony took back the gamers they originally had on the PS2 before they jumped ship to the 360 because Microsoft assured them third party would be there. 

P.S.

Phil Spencer also conceded that Nintendo makes the best first party in the business. He also admitted that single player games sell better on their platform. It all depends on how you rear your market based on your offerings, you see. Nintendo could easily make a great Kid Icarus, Donkey Kong, Metroid Fire Emblem or even a Kirby game. They have so much to work with. They also haven't launched a new Super Smash bros hasn't had a major release in three years, so I could see that being announced eiher next year to be launched either the same year or the year after. There is a lot to work with when it comes to Nintendo even though Sony is building a heap of great titles themselves (now that they've hit their stride).