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Much of the fall from previous generations is because of handheld systems falling somewhat out of favour, perhaps due to mobile gaming becoming more popular. The Switch has all the tools it needs to become a success. Whether that means 40 million, 80 million or something else is still to be seen. I don't expect it to reach Wii's sales numbers, as it doesn't quite seem to have the same appeal for more mainstream audiences as the Wii did.