I mean, I see Switch being a moderate commercial success. It's clearly going to step into Vita's role in Japan which is multi-plat with PS4 titles, which is basically all Vita's had its whole life (alongside PS3 multiplats) and it pushed 6m there. Switch should easily do more with the additional Nintendo franchises.
In the west, I don't see it selling to more than the Nintendo hardcore really, just like Wii U did.
One thing's for certain - I was expecting to wake up this morning and see all kinds of amazing Switch news all over the front page. Betrayalton of this dev going over to them; that game being announced and the price being competitive. None of that happened. They're getting a load of late ports; the western third parties STILL aren't on board; the Japanese third parties aren't announcing anything really new and the indies were barely present.
It's certainly convinced me that I'm happy with my Vita/PS4 setup for at least another year. Beyond that we'll see where the console is at that point and whether I can justify a purchase.
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