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specialk said:
Neodegenerate said:

All but a handful of games (GTA, Pokemon, CoD?) need those discounts to hit that number.  The difference here compared to standard AAA game sitautions is that Square might hit their 10 million number where other AAA games definitely won't.

Point taken. But not every AAA game has the developer come out and say, "We need to sell 10M to break even." either.

If VGChartz numbers are to be believed, Final Fantasy 13 actually had a stronger first week if you account for the fact that the game didn't have a simultanious world-wide release like 15 did. 

13 sold about 7.5M (again, if VGChartz numbers are right). 

The rise of digital sales helps a bit, but I have a bad feeling about this.

I agree, and ultimately this is all on Square for taking 10 years to put the damn thing out.  Fact that they are only about 4 million away from their target without putting out their inevitable packaged edition with all the DLC later, and a potential PC port, or a potential Switch port, makes me more optimistic than pessimistic that they will hit that target.