If Eurogamer is right, How many NXs will sell?

[Landguy]

Einsam_Delphin said:

Landguy said:

You kind of hit it right on the head.  When I predicted in the OP that it would hit 25 million, I was surmising that it would end up at $300+ at retail.  Knowing that, i think it will hurt the sales long term.  Even if people rush out to get one, some type of tablet or cell phone will match its power in 2 years.  Any handheld that gets developed now, needs to be planned with a short lifespan.  The exponential increases in power for tablets and phones every year is amazing.

If the NX isn't $300+, then it will be very underpowered and the whole setup will be built to a quality to low to be taken seriously long term.  If Eurogamer is right, the NX will fail either way...

 

Yep, just like the underpowered 3DS failed... oh wait. As a handheld it's not even underpowered, stronger than the Vita and will remain the most powerful handheld for the generation as Sony wont be making another portable. It doesn't matter that a tablet/cell phone is more powerful when they don't at all get the kind same kinds of games, again see 3DS.

Also, still don't know why you keep thinking it'll be $300+. A powerful wannabe third party console would be a terrible terrible idea at this point when there's already a bunch of third party machines on the market with more on the way. It's far too late to try weasling in on an established market, and the XB1 isn't even doing that well so very unlikely would Nintendo fair any better. So yes that route would definitely fail, but a route focusing instead on their strong suit being the handheld market can very much succeed as it always has.

It may seem logical to compare it to the 3DS.  But the 3DS failed at launch($250).  If this has the capabilities that we are discussing here, it will cost at least $300.  That is the point.  Not powerful enough to suceed as a console yet too expensive to succeed as a handheld.  Also, comparing it to the 3DS when the handheld market is doing nothing but shrinking isn't going to work really either.  If the 3DS came out today(assuming technically comparable for today), it's total sales might only be 1/2 or 2/3 what they are.  I am not saying a NEW dedicated handheld from Nintendo can't be successful, I am saying the version(hybrid) as indicated in the Eurogamer article will not be.  Even if Nintendo released a new dedicated handheld today, it might only have a peak possibility of 40-50 Million sales at most.