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I agree with your point, but backing it up by sales predictions isn't going to convince anyone.

Quality games sell on the Wii, regardless of publisher. The only reason Nintendo has been doing so much better than third parties is that they're the only company so far to have put their best teams on the console. Ok, maybe there's a bit brand loyalty from long-time Nintendo fans involved, but not anywhere close enough to stop the Wii from being the most profitable platform to release games on.