If Zelda U is going to be the main launch title for the NX then I can see Luigi's Mansion being a good choice to launch alongside it. I don't think Nintendo would want to fire all of their best guns right at launch by also releasing a mainline Mario game: it would make more sense to release Super Mario Galaxy 3 a year after launch like they did with the Wii so they can sustain momentum.
I also think that Luigi's Mansion could be a great choice to visually showcase the power of the NX. Like people have said, the game is set in a small environment with lots of opportunities for advanced lighting and shadow effects, so it's a game that allows for short development timelines but can still look really good. The OG Luigi's Mansion was a great launch title to showcase the GCN's graphics and I think that the franchise can do the same thing now for the NX.
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