Fiscal year 2008-09: PS3 will sell 16 million PS3's worldwide for the year.

[BKK2]

So you're completely disregarding Sony's 10m forecast? Don't get me wrong, I think their forecast is low myself, but it does suggest they're not planning on a price cut. 16m seems incredibly optimistic. 13m would seem more reasonable, and that's still 3m over their own forecast.