1) Uncharted 4, of course. Higher user base and the IP is in better shape/media coverage than Gears.
2) Uncharted 4, again. People seem uninpressed by what they've seen at E3 and Uncharted is the opposite: people are extremely happy. I think this is a sign.
Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won