You waited until the last minute for something that should have been a no-brainer if you did the maths.
Pick the Bills
Pick the Patriots
The above alone makes a Patriots pick already the better decision, but the benefits are even greater when third place and below are taken into account. A wrong Patriots pick wouldn't have hurt you, because almost everyone picked them, including all of your relevant competitors. But a wrong Bills pick would have costed you.
If you weighed the risk/reward ratios of all possible scenarios, then picking the Patriots was a really easy decision because it guaranteed sole possession of first place while the negatives were far smaller than with a Bills pick. But it took you the whole day and until the last minute to submit that change. I was expecting a change all along.
Yes, I was aware of the logic. I was at work all day, then came home, then put baby to bed, then remembered to make the change at the last minute. There's a difference between having other stuff to do and waiting. I guess everybody saw through my initial "Bills by 28" pick.
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